Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e01e3811af48527ef72d3ea9848ab109b67506b9e9a63d690fb84d2c5b5ade1

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $336,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $379,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,565 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2be3…688fbacked Yes	69c	15,792$10,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,843.47	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	2c	11,125$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.01	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	7,135$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,096.33	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed No	11c	7,086$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.13	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	60c	5,203$3,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.22	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	53c	4,752$2,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,243.83	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	75c	3,976$2,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.2	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	19c	3,950$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.5	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	22c	3,916$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.77	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed No	70c	3,021$2,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,102.8	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	68c	2,980$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.95	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	23c	2,636$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.51	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	29c	2,600$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.86	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	36c	2,599$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,663.82	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	52c	2,584$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240.32	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	12c	2,414$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.45	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5637…7599backed Yes	17c	2,015$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,677.51	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a0…bdf6backed No	15c	1,930$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.4	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	71c	1,773$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.87	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	63c	1,658$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.26	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	72c	1,636$1,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.81	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	52c	1,600$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	47c	1,544$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.22	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	63c	1,520$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.82	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x509d…0f6ebacked No	73c	1,518$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.86	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…5ae5backed No	13c	1,450$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.02	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	32c	1,403$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.75	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	12c	1,400$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.15	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	29c	1,400$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.99	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	21c	1,312$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.33	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-56%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked No	6c	1,200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	45c	1,198$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.81	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	19c	1,176$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.83	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	25c	1,140$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.15	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb765…f696backed Yes	61c	1,031$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.22	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	46c	1,023$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.14	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	52c	935.62$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.52	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Yes	69c	927.81$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.31	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	63c	915.84$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.96	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9fd…d5b8backed Yes	55c	913.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.45	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+76.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e00…ea54backed Yes	51c	833.2$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.52	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	16c	829.43$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.49	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	33c	800$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	43c	784.83$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.07	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	80c	702.85$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.4	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	51c	700.59$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.39	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0f…37babacked Yes	60c	696.33$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.6	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No	68c	660.92$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.52	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5393…45c5backed Yes	79c	627.14$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.66	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed No	10c	622.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.66	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes	56c	620.27$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c7…62dabacked Yes	65c	616.18$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No	55c	614.99$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.94	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	74cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	29c	599.99$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.74	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	71c	567.11$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.11	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	33c	553.52$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.42	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	30c	550$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	26c	533$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.21	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	495.34$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.26	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed No	25c	494.34$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.44	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff0…df18backed Yes	23c	470$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.9	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e09…6ddcbacked Yes	34c	465.33$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.25	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked No	14c	450$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Yes	34c	443.11$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.11	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3385…05e5backed No	19c	415$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f7…6a03backed No	18c	412.2$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.85	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…7512backed Yes	28c	410.14$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.94	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…1e99backed Yes	68c	409.5$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.74	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes	30c	394.75$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.82	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed No	74c	386.05$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.56	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No	13c	360.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.23	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	37c	352.2$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.45	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0368…8febbacked Yes	35c	338.11$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.11	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	70c	332.62$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.43	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x515a…269abacked No	17c	316.23$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.76	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No	61c	309.85$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.98	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Yes	75c	307.79$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.24	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No	64c	300$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…55b9backed Yes	38c	298$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.34	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09a…d020backed Yes	41c	290$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.47	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	51c	286.9$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.49	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5802…8499backed No	14c	276.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed No	56c	266.97$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	38c	260.35$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.35	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb4…3a48backed Yes	56c	256.75$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.01	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a1…7456backed Yes	34c	242.22$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.91	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	43c	220$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.95	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	68c	216.42$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.23	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…1cc3backed Yes	17c	208.16$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.91	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db5…d5a6backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58af…162fbacked Yes	28c	200$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c0…b1a7backed No	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca4…6607backed Yes	74c	195.54$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-55%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ba…d554backed No	17c	192.77$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc4…86acbacked Yes	53c	190.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa387…4f83backed Yes	64c	186.54$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	69c	185.83$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.85	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec76…f9f1backed No	66c	181.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.06	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	75cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a1…d54abacked Yes	57c	175.34$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.34	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event