Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Astra Sharma vs Kamilla Rakhimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad11c40d57106e2b9912fe1dac5434118688301399a0e538077abef36db7994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rakhimovaof Sharma, Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sharma | 0c | 3,742$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Sharma | 22c | 2,163$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharma | 21c | 1,738$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.38 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharma | 8c | 1,533$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rakhimova | 80c | 1,275$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sharma | 20c | 1,047$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Rakhimova | 79c | 877$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rakhimova | 79c | 438.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Sharma | 17c | 400.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Sharma | 24c | 208.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rakhimova | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rakhimova | 76c | 193.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sharma | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Rakhimova | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sharma | 9c | 114.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Sharma | 21c | 93.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Rakhimova | 79c | 92.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Sharma | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sharma | 21c | 84.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Rakhimova | 79c | 78.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Sharma | 17c | 66.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Rakhimova | 79c | 58.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Rakhimova | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Rakhimova | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Rakhimova | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Rakhimova | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Rakhimova | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rakhimova | 78c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Astra Sharma vs Kamilla Rakhimovathis page
- Sharma vs. Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.