Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c11961299d865fa80eb380bf74566d918566866ff775d7179c8d7ad7c79b127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 25c | 33,652$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.94 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 75c | 26,136$19,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.66 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 24,457$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.49 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 72c | 24,054$17,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.11 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Yes | 75c | 22,122$16,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…9a34backed Yes | 54c | 22,080$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Yes | 72c | 14,303$10,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 34c | 14,202$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.92 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Yes | 75c | 13,321$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 25c | 11,870$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.94 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 76c | 10,092$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 9,929$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.52 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 5,567$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.68 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Yes | 75c | 4,804$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 74c | 4,228$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 75c | 4,052$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 76c | 4,000$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 3,050$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 25c | 3,019$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.76 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,977$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 26c | 2,834$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.83 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 34c | 2,784$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.43 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 75c | 2,501$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 25c | 2,225$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 25c | 1,898$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.47 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 24c | 1,630$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.9 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 26c | 1,440$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 25c | 1,340$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 25c | 1,336$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 75c | 1,269$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 74c | 1,042$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 47c | 1,031$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 18c | 997.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 74c | 970.01$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 906.4$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.88 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 74c | 864.86$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 27c | 837.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 25c | 754.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 75c | 665.83$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 47c | 640.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.73 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 74c | 543.17$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…007dbacked Yes | 75c | 537.48$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 74c | 531.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 60c | 526.13$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 23c | 484.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 24c | 431.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Yes | 75c | 426.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 72c | 376.2$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 28c | 372$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 74c | 352.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 62c | 322.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 6c | 322.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Yes | 75c | 320.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 51c | 319.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 76c | 313.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 69c | 308$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked No | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 283.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 78c | 257.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…eefabacked Yes | 75c | 236.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 75c | 219.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…56c3backed Yes | 76c | 204.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdac…a6fdbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 26c | 190.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 181.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 75c | 163.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 74c | 135.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.