Us Politics · resolved market
Trump Travel Ban Before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd067dcd25ec0584a16dd0c456b2c9d72e850ba0d379175be7b723f3cce84132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc99…ede8backed Yes | 66c | 91,027$60,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,949.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…8009backed No | 34c | 91,024$30,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,948.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…2cfebacked No | 17c | 56,896$9,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,672.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 70c | 10,178$7,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.26 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 23c | 10,115$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.28 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 68c | 4,092$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.86 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 20c | 3,140$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.25 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 73c | 2,433$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed No | 14c | 2,152$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edd…1717backed Yes | 73c | 1,909$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 78c | 1,636$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.64 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6329…61d1backed No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 20c | 1,345$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 24c | 1,283$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked No | 34c | 1,144$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 2c | 1,052$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 9c | 1,022$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 21c | 900$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed No | 23c | 830.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 15c | 727.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed No | 30c | 686.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 4c | 605.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked No | 52c | 489.75$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 450.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 7c | 421.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…7517backed No | 25c | 401.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 25c | 396.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 22c | 362$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 23c | 346$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 67c | 339.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 29c | 302.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 16c | 286.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked No | 16c | 250.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed No | 23c | 237.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked No | 25c | 219.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 10c | 209.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 75c | 208.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…e05dbacked No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 31c | 140.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 71c | 140.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 47c | 138.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…1df2backed No | 18c | 135.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 44c | 127.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…b151backed No | 74c | 126$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…d115backed Yes | 63c | 125.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 77c | 124.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 50c | 117.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Yes | 68c | 116.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda5…56a7backed No | 13c | 111.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…b6a3backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…f894backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…3ffcbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Yes | 66c | 99.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…2c7cbacked No | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…d075backed No | 30c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed No | 72c | 83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Yes | 62c | 81.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…fc04backed No | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 67c | 55.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 54.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 24c | 51.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 65c | 51.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…ad8ebacked No | 35c | 51.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…9260backed Yes | 68c | 36.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 63c | 34.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…d3bdbacked Yes | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…b102backed Yes | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…512abacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…eeb9backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…6641backed Yes | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 67c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…7102backed No | 71c | 21.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68fb…7e9ebacked Yes | 66c | 15.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.