TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Sabres, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,192,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,174,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Utah66c344,376$227,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,331.154264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Sabres36c321,483$114,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,534.749340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Sabres41c189,103$76,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,738.6114538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah47c150,000$70,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,70042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Utah65c116,553$75,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,803.414057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres34c51,400$17,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,731.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sabres45c46,538$21,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,072.7744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres34c40,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,60013449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Utah64c39,500$25,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,2205745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sabres34c20,216$6,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.428952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah65c19,679$12,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.731,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sabres35c16,000$5,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,66030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Sabres34c15,930$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sabres34c15,555$5,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.6521850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sabres35c14,896$5,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.5428353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Sabres35c14,286$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.15848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Sabres35c14,209$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.035453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres32c12,497$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.7227143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sabres72c11,524$8,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,297.2730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Utah46c10,381$4,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Sabres35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres66c9,796$6,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,481.171,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah75c9,230$6,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.7261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Utah65c9,008$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.5870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x181b…be49backed Utah71c8,500$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Sabres29c8,500$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4652147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sabres35c8,046$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.1230152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah65c7,600$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sabres34c7,349$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.7687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8729…03d6backed Utah48c7,053$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d0…4f76backed Sabres52c7,043$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres34c6,489$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.492,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Sabres34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0405448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Sabres35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres35c5,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Utah66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Utah64c4,967$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.6430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Sabres50c4,963$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.344035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres35c4,875$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.1263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres34c4,742$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.2347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres35c4,622$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.3754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Sabres35c4,429$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Sabres35c4,379$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.6510554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres34c3,632$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.161,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres57c3,582$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.7492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Sabres35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22511946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Utah64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah64c2,860$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.2382043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sabres35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffa…0788backed Sabres35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres35c2,779$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.141,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Sabres35c2,750$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Utah67c2,617$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.522650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Sabres34c2,524$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.164546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Sabres19c2,468$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.94319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah65c2,300$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Sabres35c2,135$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.5839047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sabres35c2,100$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sabres35c2,029$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah59c2,026$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.8583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55a…72c3backed Utah65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Sabres35c1,983$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6943636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26b9…675abacked Sabres35c1,943$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d37…e006backed Utah66c1,942$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Sabres35c1,790$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres53c1,627$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.1995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4477…55aabacked Utah66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Utah66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.155648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…183ebacked Sabres35c1,514$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Sabres76c1,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1405141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Utah65c1,401$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.381,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sabres34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47653337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Sabres43c1,383$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sabres34c1,325$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4916753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres35c1,319$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah65c1,309$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.9391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres34c1,294$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.961,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Sabres58c1,233$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.349949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Utah35c1,206$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.1217749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sabres62c1,183$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres35c1,160$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.031,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres1c1,110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Utah56c1,081$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.285945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Utah37c1,011$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.169550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…3b53backed Sabres36c1,011$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Utah66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Utah46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Sabres35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Utah66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Sabres34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34026955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Sabres35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked Utah66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Utah64c960$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.615448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Sabres34c959.58$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.266657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Sabres35c924.96$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.739250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres35c905.53$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d4…8713backed Sabres35c859.52$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.832138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3fd…dbc5backed Utah66c859.52$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Sabres35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sabres65c855$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9826344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.