NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51efa52579214ae4d94db60034c94db6cd6493c8f49ce16f3d5c02a99c4c2423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Flyers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 38c | 98,703$37,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,507.07 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 62c | 64,858$40,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,645.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 62c | 35,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers | 38c | 24,685$9,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,380.21 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 39c | 17,771$6,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.6 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Lightning | 62c | 9,450$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 40c | 8,848$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…656ebacked Lightning | 61c | 6,759$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…cc1cbacked Flyers | 39c | 6,753$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Lightning | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 62c | 5,500$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Lightning | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Lightning | 62c | 4,964$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.15 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 60c | 4,950$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 61c | 4,264$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 39c | 4,250$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.25 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 38c | 4,236$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.86 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 61c | 3,934$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.26 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 40c | 3,510$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.52 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lightning | 72c | 3,111$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 62c | 2,515$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.65 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Flyers | 38c | 2,242$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 4c | 2,092$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Lightning | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Flyers | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,870$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.01 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,862$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.56 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed Lightning | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,681$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Lightning | 61c | 1,598$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.24 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…319dbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flyers | 7c | 1,468$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 36c | 1,463$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Flyers | 34c | 1,251$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,204$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.52 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…c728backed Lightning | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,030$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.68 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Flyers | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lightning | 62c | 1,023$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Flyers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Flyers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…7ec0backed Lightning | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Flyers | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 34c | 978.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.88 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lightning | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…898cbacked Lightning | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…d29cbacked Flyers | 39c | 850$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Flyers | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Flyers | 39c | 799.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Lightning | 62c | 769.35$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 62c | 750.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 66c | 729.37$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Flyers | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers | 9c | 666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 15c | 664.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 61c | 616.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Flyers | 39c | 615.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…25b5backed Flyers | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…15a3backed Flyers | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Flyers | 26c | 570.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flyers | 39c | 549.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 29c | 504.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…802dbacked Flyers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Lightning | 62c | 483.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Flyers | 38c | 456.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…692dbacked Flyers | 39c | 435.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Lightning | 61c | 424.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Flyers | 18c | 418.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lightning | 62c | 406.45$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Flyers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…5712backed Lightning | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…4dabbacked Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…b98cbacked Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…cc95backed Lightning | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…bd29backed Flyers | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…ce93backed Lightning | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…aa27backed Flyers | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…4f49backed Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…775cbacked Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…5839backed Flyers | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…60e0backed Lightning | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…2bd0backed Flyers | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…44a4backed Lightning | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Lightningthis page
- Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.