TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes80c73,192$58,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,853.761050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No21c56,180$11,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,589.942231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes79c29,988$23,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.529754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No19c23,719$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,534.213547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…7240backed No22c16,900$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No28c15,756$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.027458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No19c13,995$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.0814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…91debacked Yes78c9,900$7,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c6,067$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a68…f88abacked Yes78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+164.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No19c4,211$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed No2c4,060$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes79c3,870$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.7679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes66c3,170$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.616137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9f…a67fbacked No20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Yes79c2,376$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes79c2,159$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0621153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes65c2,069$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.829044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes76c2,037$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8214732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No11c2,009$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0237652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…263abacked Yes78c1,538$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No19c1,339$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No18c1,258$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.232737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes79c1,237$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes78c1,168$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.12867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7caa…8872backed Yes78c1,002$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No18c999.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9914147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5d…43fbbacked Yes78c992.07$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No5c849.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.643910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No13c795$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No21c792.77$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No22c646.61$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.271,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes80c628.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.544339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.064146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes68c596$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.041040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.244346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes78c511.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7212053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…5124backed Yes79c450.15$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Yes73c412.01$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes80c355.87$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.957061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No23c354.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Yes65c333$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes70c317.17$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1515636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c8dbacked Yes79c315.57$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No35c253.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd761…8e1dbacked Yes79c244.2$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.28650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No21c237.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.987159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f1…8994backed Yes79c228.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No19c211$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bea…f420backed Yes78c203.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes79c202.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.531457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f63…67c4backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c184.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc28…a26ebacked Yes76c180$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.11050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No30c155.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.047146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea0…1069backed Yes80c151.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ca…6adfbacked Yes79c144.78$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec0…d00bbacked Yes79c143.42$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f37…6dc5backed Yes79c141.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0f…a490backed Yes73c137.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes77c130.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.926854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5829653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.589750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes64c106.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.399027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked No23c100.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cfe…b99fbacked No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…e02fbacked Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.757536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No18c85.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7613149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Yes80c68.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0697…33d4backed Yes79c66.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No23c65.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1629751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes79c65.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8242862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No19c63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Yes80c56.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.