Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2150c17fb7137a49bbdf2619c19858f03c6068c76aa6b6568c388b56cc33dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 10,052$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.16 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,396$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.74 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 7c | 3,940$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 8c | 2,791$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 12c | 2,635$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 6c | 2,400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 9c | 2,266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 7c | 1,943$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 7c | 912.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…945ebacked Yes | 8c | 764.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 8c | 716.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a4acbacked Yes | 8c | 699.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 8c | 642.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes | 5c | 589.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Yes | 8c | 336.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Yes | 9c | 333.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…7cd9backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…fabbbacked Yes | 8c | 209.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffa…a8a5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 8c | 185.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes | 8c | 151.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…cd4abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-03-09?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.