Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9b34b69ba9018ae9dcb726c745f6e8c71717e222e49268263d7c0d0620c086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gadeckiof Gadecki, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Gadecki | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.83 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Li | 18c | 1,694$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Li | 64c | 1,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gadecki | 50c | 741.58$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Li | 51c | 379.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gadecki | 72c | 306.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Li | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li | 39c | 281.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Li | 64c | 249$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Li | 34c | 245.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Li | 19c | 230.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Li | 15c | 223.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Li | 63c | 219.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Gadecki | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Li | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Gadecki | 38c | 143.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…d5dabacked Li | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Li | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d312backed Li | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Gadecki | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gadecki | 49c | 87.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Li | 24c | 51.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Gadecki | 34c | 43.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Li | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Gadecki | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…c79bbacked Li | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Li | 37c | 30.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Gadecki | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Gadecki | 61c | 24.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.