Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f5726fc747c486326184f750c380241c51146c3d8c90e8f018f3ad15a60414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Machac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Machac | 13c | 8,425$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.38 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Machac | 0c | 3,732$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…1d40backed Machac | 36c | 2,953$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Machac | 7c | 2,344$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Machac | 19c | 1,943$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Machac | 13c | 1,565$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Lehecka | 67c | 1,501$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.82 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Machac | 36c | 1,372$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lehecka | 68c | 1,371$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lehecka | 77c | 1,148$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Lehecka | 63c | 1,113$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.28 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Machac | 24c | 1,081$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Machac | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Machac | 34c | 977.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.69 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Machac | 16c | 868.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lehecka | 67c | 860$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Machac | 10c | 859$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…9b85backed Lehecka | 66c | 758.5$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Machac | 16c | 603.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Lehecka | 65c | 427$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Machac | 33c | 403.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lehecka | 80c | 367.74$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Machac | 10c | 329.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Lehecka | 68c | 312.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lehecka | 79c | 310.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Machac | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Machac | 21c | 286.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Lehecka | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Machac | 40c | 238.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Machac | 6c | 218.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Machac | 6c | 199.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…ef99backed Lehecka | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Machac | 36c | 147.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Machac | 43c | 115.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Machac | 11c | 113.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…ae0dbacked Machac | 20c | 100.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Machac | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Machac | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Lehecka | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Lehecka | 73c | 83.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Machac | 37c | 81.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Lehecka | 77c | 71.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Machac | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Lehecka | 78c | 61.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Machac | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Machac | 36c | 54.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…e3a0backed Lehecka | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Lehecka | 68c | 47.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Machac | 33c | 44.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…9fcfbacked Lehecka | 73c | 42.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Lehecka | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Lehecka | 64c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Lehecka | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Machac | 34c | 34.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Lehecka | 69c | 32.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Lehecka | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Lehecka | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Lehecka | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…32b3backed Lehecka | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…24d7backed Lehecka | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lehecka | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed Lehecka | 65c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Lehecka | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machacthis page
- Lehecka vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.