TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x005d…806a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.9
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+94.2%+$18.85
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Kordabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.11
Brisbane International: Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbertbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Brisbane International: Denis Shapovalov vs Raphael Collignonbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Yi Zhoubacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machacbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+74.4%+$19
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+109.7%+$19.14
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+159.8%+$31.96
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$32.52
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.