Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Denis Shapovalov vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43074569611ceb03916e4cb1d3af451369a69649a0918ea0475795f384a410f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Shapovalov, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Collignon | 46c | 15,346$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,282.4 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Shapovalov | 43c | 10,000$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.06 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Shapovalov | 43c | 9,919$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.26 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collignon | 77c | 7,669$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.24 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Shapovalov | 13c | 5,812$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.89 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Collignon | 48c | 5,145$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.2 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Shapovalov | 54c | 3,352$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.08 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Collignon | 76c | 3,100$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shapovalov | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.03 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Collignon | 73c | 2,148$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Collignon | 47c | 2,140$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.2 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Collignon | 46c | 2,000$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.58 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked Shapovalov | 55c | 1,647$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Shapovalov | 54c | 1,065$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.14 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Shapovalov | 39c | 1,006$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…0576backed Shapovalov | 54c | 924.5$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Shapovalov | 52c | 804.44$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Collignon | 44c | 685.59$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.3 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Collignon | 50c | 669.48$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Shapovalov | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Shapovalov | 2c | 509.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Collignon | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Collignon | 46c | 415.37$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Collignon | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Collignon | 79c | 382.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Shapovalov | 54c | 370.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Shapovalov | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Shapovalov | 54c | 348.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Shapovalov | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Shapovalov | 57c | 281.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Shapovalov | 33c | 257.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Shapovalov | 55c | 209.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Collignon | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Shapovalov | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shapovalov | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Collignon | 73c | 191.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Shapovalov | 54c | 185.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Collignon | 70c | 175.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Collignon | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Shapovalov | 34c | 173.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shapovalov | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Collignon | 46c | 167.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Shapovalov | 55c | 144$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Shapovalov | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Shapovalov | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Collignon | 67c | 105.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Shapovalov | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Collignon | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Shapovalov | 27c | 99.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Shapovalov | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Collignon | 65c | 91.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…9b30backed Shapovalov | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Collignon | 46c | 76.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Collignon | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Collignon | 41c | 68.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Shapovalov | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Shapovalov | 50c | 61.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Collignon | 43c | 55.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Collignon | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Shapovalov | 54c | 55.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…bb92backed Shapovalov | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Shapovalov | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shapovalov | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Shapovalov | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Shapovalov | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Collignon | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Shapovalov | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Collignon | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Shapovalov | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Collignon | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Collignon | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Collignon | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Shapovalov | 54c | 41.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Shapovalov | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Shapovalov | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Collignon | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Collignon | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Collignon | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shapovalov | 51c | 34.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Shapovalov | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Shapovalov | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Collignon | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Shapovalov | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Collignon | 46c | 29.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Shapovalov | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Shapovalov | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Shapovalov | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Collignon | 64c | 25.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Shapovalov | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…f10bbacked Shapovalov | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Shapovalov | 54c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Collignon | 66c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Collignon | 66c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Collignon | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Denis Shapovalov vs Raphael Collignonthis page
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)Collignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.