Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4fd3504c4f3d4396495882bc1371947f5dd1108757dc97e5094663feeb97642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 50,715$22,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,430.38 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 56c | 40,978$22,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,947.65 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 39,885$21,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,581.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 38,339$19,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,403.72 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 19,521$8,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950.77 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 42c | 14,999$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.37 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…194dbacked Yes | 46c | 11,108$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 10,347$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 57c | 6,468$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 79c | 6,302$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.16 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 5,535$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.67 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 44c | 4,103$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 3,563$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.56 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 44c | 2,999$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 41c | 2,913$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.91 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 68c | 2,845$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…5b42backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,184$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,079$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,906$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,894$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.34 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,881$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.31 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 1,572$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.59 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 46c | 1,511$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yes | 44c | 1,493$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 1,278$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,274$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.94 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 57c | 1,253$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 1,047$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 44c | 1,001$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 43c | 999.96$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 999.94$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…af68backed No | 56c | 948.09$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 924.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 918.37$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 45c | 836.53$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 56c | 829.79$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.68 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 57c | 823.44$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.36 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Yes | 43c | 799.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 56c | 786.55$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.16 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked No | 55c | 715.19$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…13bebacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 682.39$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 38c | 651.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…e05bbacked Yes | 44c | 626.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 597.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.84 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 44c | 570.89$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 43c | 555.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.53 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 77c | 529.61$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 43c | 529$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 39c | 517.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 504.55$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 42c | 499.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 43c | 488.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 42c | 479.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 467.51$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…f863backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…d67abacked Yes | 44c | 458.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 43c | 453.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 43c | 452.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Yes | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 19c | 429.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked No | 57c | 429.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 43c | 390.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.