TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60b2…3ccebacked No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.981353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c9,673$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c4,553$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.5227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No75c3,455$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.6610259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,853$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes27c2,625$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.768334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed No78c2,573$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.653964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No74c2,494$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.133253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes24c1,999$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7622237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No74c1,787$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.624459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c1,628$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.612910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes24c1,046$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes19c1,040$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x376d…9b48backed Yes17c917.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes24c879.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No74c717.61$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.154242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes3c699.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2180%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes26c606.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5713040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes27c560$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.28640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c528.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0724238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No74c497.68$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No74c440$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.43066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes24c399.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No75c388.17$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.171070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No74c349.67$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8910451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes5c330$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c323$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes26c299.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.993348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No76c285.09$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes27c277.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes27c237.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c215.27$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed No74c214.86$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes7c209.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No74c190$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.46162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes26c189.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.86731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes24c172.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.331926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes19c170$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes26c169.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0612923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked No80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+124.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes26c140.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes27c140.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Yes26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes26c122$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33c4…9cd7backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes26c118.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.873246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed No74c106.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No74c105.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2615357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No75c94.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.675259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb6…b350backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cb…a1cfbacked Yes23c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes26c88.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.919037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa23b…db15backed No77c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c84.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.913550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No78c78.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x092c…06b4backed Yes26c77.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked No74c77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2392…ddcabacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes26c72.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7311146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c63.87$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1126046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No74c58.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+81.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Yes26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked No74c52.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.492070%14 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No74c50.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.