TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrieof Norrie, Humbert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc86d…c53fbacked Humbert38c11,148$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie25c10,177$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,674.336,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Humbert60c5,385$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.012,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…4e12backed Norrie44c4,473$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Humbert57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Norrie16c4,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.9881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Norrie10c3,913$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.5710729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norrie31c3,710$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.888,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ce…94abbacked Humbert56c3,370$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Norrie18c3,289$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.5231647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Humbert4c3,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241085.6%6 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Humbert52c2,823$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.362,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Norrie43c2,815$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.781,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Norrie26c2,533$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.16756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norrie45c2,495$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.024,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Humbert62c2,450$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Humbert56c2,135$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.4313852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x935e…d6e4backed Norrie72c2,123$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Norrie44c2,116$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.7318237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Humbert56c2,092$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.7643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Humbert9c1,800$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Norrie37c1,625$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.981,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Humbert1c1,583$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Humbert7c1,508$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6310815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Humbert67c1,494$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.692,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Norrie66c1,381$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.215860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Humbert6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.988313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Norrie57c1,324$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9211053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Humbert7c1,260$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.734513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+134.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Humbert29c1,230$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee6d…26b2backed Humbert56c1,103$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Norrie28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.435265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Humbert48c1,021$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.361,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Norrie27c1,017$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.1622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Norrie37c1,013$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.512,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Norrie70c1,000$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.351656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Norrie13c1,000$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.3659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Norrie43c959.17$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.4755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Humbert46c942.59$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.982,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Humbert73c915.68$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8823847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Norrie4c867.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.496,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Humbert47c803.71$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Humbert57c800$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.267249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Norrie13c772.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.83156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12db…2473backed Humbert58c760.14$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Norrie43c747.09$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8427944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Norrie43c698.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.372458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03d…0aa2backed Norrie44c695$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Norrie45c689.76$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.132,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Humbert65c668.4$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.763745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Norrie45c655.9$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7510541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed87…0ba7backed Norrie80c627.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Norrie55c626.82$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Norrie52c618$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Humbert38c600$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2276250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Humbert45c550.88$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.461,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Humbert18c547.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie42c544$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.891,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Humbert77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Norrie47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Humbert64c406.61$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.922,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Humbert56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22428451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Norrie14c397.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.288713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Norrie26c386.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5928444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Norrie45c376.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3422021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Humbert56c357.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.423464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Humbert56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x991c…5f1bbacked Humbert56c351$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Humbert57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Humbert57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Norrie43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.843839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc472…bfb9backed Humbert56c344$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Humbert57c343.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19614546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Norrie65c337.6$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.165162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Humbert31c336.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…178abacked Humbert53c334.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Norrie21c313.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Norrie44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Norrie10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Norrie67c285$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.059762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Norrie44c266.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5194355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Norrie67c266.03$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0114858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Norrie19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Norrie38c251.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Humbert8c250.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9725542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Humbert54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.997537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Norrie15c240.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.219131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Norrie43c237.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Norrie44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.242141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Humbert65c210.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Humbert75c206.88$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.161850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Humbert42c202.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9328833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Norrie65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Norrie41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1197122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Norrie18c190.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.477444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Norrie44c190.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.62958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd354…71e3backed Norrie56c175.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Norrie10c172.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.022,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Norrie58c172.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Humbert59c170.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.