TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x935e…d6e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Cricket — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.9
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.23
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.76
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$35.42
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$35.75
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kingsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.48
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$33.6
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.6
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, Chinabacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.6
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Derbyshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$41.06
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.89
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.2
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kingsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.52
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.39
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$62.06
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
T20 Asia Cup Rising Stars, Women: Bangladesh A vs Pakistan Abacked Pakistan A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110.18
International T20 Series: Namibia vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.2%+$73.39
WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs Mumbai Indians Womenbacked Gujarat Giants Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.3%+$148.82
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150.16
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$134.89
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.4%+$67.69
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.6%+$2,130.9
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,976Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$939.69
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$324.4
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+39.3%+$96.37
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$296
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$216.62
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+34.2%+$1,002.81
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$851.76
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$270
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+59.9%+$631.83
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$213.85
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$270.57
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+27%+$271.01
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+37%+$285.47
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$877.94
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$115.69
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$144
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25.5%+$283.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$407.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$214.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$209
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,821Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+30.4%+$1,466.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,478.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$230.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,136.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.