Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fdbb296bcc1aead03226196fa40129ba6cd8ae69a877de5e39b934b9688fdf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Oman, Hong Kong, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Hong Kong, China | 75c | 3,684$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.67 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Oman | 5c | 2,419$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Oman | 21c | 2,313$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hong Kong, China | 59c | 2,094$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.27 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Oman | 42c | 1,720$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.34 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Oman | 44c | 1,711$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Hong Kong, China | 61c | 1,440$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Oman | 31c | 1,256$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.03 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 1,171$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.35 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hong Kong, China | 58c | 1,053$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Oman | 18c | 675.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Oman | 24c | 638.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Oman | 43c | 617.54$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Hong Kong, China | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Oman | 15c | 459.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Oman | 20c | 442.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Hong Kong, China | 62c | 357.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Oman | 39c | 246.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Oman | 29c | 234.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…543fbacked Hong Kong, China | 64c | 203.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Oman | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 199.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Oman | 25c | 179.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Oman | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Hong Kong, China | 61c | 164.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Hong Kong, China | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hong Kong, China | 63c | 158.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Hong Kong, China | 65c | 154.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…9742backed Hong Kong, China | 80c | 144.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…fa4dbacked Hong Kong, China | 63c | 140.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Hong Kong, China | 62c | 129.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Oman | 44c | 120.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Oman | 19c | 114.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Hong Kong, China | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Oman | 40c | 104.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Oman | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oman | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Oman | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Oman | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Oman | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…d185backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Hong Kong, China | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Oman | 41c | 92.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Oman | 41c | 92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Hong Kong, China | 60c | 86.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Hong Kong, China | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Oman | 45c | 80.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Oman | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Oman | 20c | 71.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Hong Kong, China | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hong Kong, China | 59c | 54.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Hong Kong, China | 72c | 52.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Oman | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Oman | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…b8afbacked Oman | 40c | 42.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…dfebbacked Oman | 33c | 42.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Hong Kong, China | 59c | 42.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Oman | 41c | 41.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Oman | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Hong Kong, China | 61c | 38.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…5d6fbacked Oman | 52c | 38.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oman | 28c | 37.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Hong Kong, China | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Oman | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…f5b1backed Oman | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Oman | 41c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 25.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Hong Kong, China | 75c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Hong Kong, China | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Hong Kong, China | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.