Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe41dffc80de6b7040b0fba8f2158965f825cdae2d77ace764b835fabc4e5fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 11,333$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 50c | 6,025$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.89 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 46c | 5,488$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.49 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,000$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 4,895$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 4,412$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.8 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 3,482$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.52 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,037$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.54 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 3,000$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.59 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed PARIVISION | 36c | 2,806$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.53 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…f49cbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,878$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,613$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,610$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.73 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 1,370$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.1 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.11 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,243$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.64 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,231$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.93 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Falcons | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked PARIVISION | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…fe56backed Team Falcons | 50c | 759.2$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 69c | 700$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 696.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 688.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 34c | 618.43$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed PARIVISION | 79c | 510$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 60c | 484.94$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 443.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed PARIVISION | 70c | 429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d9cdbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 358.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 327.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Team Falcons | 50c | 302.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Falcons | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 54c | 275.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed PARIVISION | 47c | 272.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked PARIVISION | 62c | 265.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked PARIVISION | 59c | 244.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 210$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 190$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 39c | 170.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed PARIVISION | 50c | 143.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Team Falcons | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed PARIVISION | 76c | 132.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked PARIVISION | 58c | 119.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 108$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 106.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…b5dabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 105.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Falcons | 34c | 103$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Falcons | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 85.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 83.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…cbd6backed Team Falcons | 59c | 68.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 80c | 67.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed PARIVISION | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Team Falcons | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Team Falcons | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Falcons | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 52.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Team Falcons | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…40efbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…d8b5backed Team Falcons | 39c | 49.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…c0ccbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 49.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Falcons | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 39.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed PARIVISION | 63c | 37.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Team Falcons | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Falcons | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Falcons | 58c | 30.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Falcons | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Team Falcons | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Team Falcons | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed PARIVISION | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Team Falcons | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…ba9bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…6696backed PARIVISION | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Team Falcons | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.