Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc484c5e3e229d598e789e75b8c7c9994abded6de92cc500330958675d39a67a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 8,001$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 5,797$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.21 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,125$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION | 1c | 4,691$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Falcons | 54c | 4,448$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 76c | 3,675$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.4 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed PARIVISION | 47c | 3,253$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.18 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 2,530$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,411$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.52 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,363$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.29 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed PARIVISION | 33c | 2,000$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,904$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.73 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed PARIVISION | 34c | 1,837$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,183$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 40c | 916.48$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.91 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 899.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 638.32$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 635.21$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.21 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 62c | 579.08$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 571.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 54c | 555.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 30c | 554.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 532.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed PARIVISION | 35c | 423.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 389.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 299.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 264.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 253.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Falcons | 54c | 223.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed PARIVISION | 49c | 204.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed PARIVISION | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Team Falcons | 67c | 166.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 161.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…be99backed Team Falcons | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Falcons | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 57c | 132.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 57c | 124.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked PARIVISION | 18c | 112.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked PARIVISION | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed PARIVISION | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed PARIVISION | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed PARIVISION | 21c | 98.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Team Falcons | 78c | 79.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Falcons | 65c | 77.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed PARIVISION | 51c | 58.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed PARIVISION | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Team Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…40efbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 45.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Falcons | 55c | 43.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed PARIVISION | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 26.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Team Falcons | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Falcons | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Team Falcons | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.