Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c96f5d21cb514e4c9188524bcfe645140dedad4d34a9972fae09090a1b43b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 37c | 13,105$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.77 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 37c | 8,035$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.47 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 7,765$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.83 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 34c | 5,548$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.63 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 4,529$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.11 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed PARIVISION | 38c | 4,499$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 4,272$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.77 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 4,155$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,735$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.82 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,734$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.61 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION | 1c | 3,697$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,525$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.55 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Falcons | 68c | 3,305$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.05 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 42c | 3,300$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION | 44c | 3,261$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.19 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,238$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.1 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 3,102$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.19 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,791$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.83 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,500$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 2,326$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.82 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 2,263$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.92 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION | 34c | 2,211$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.19 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,084$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.01 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 2,010$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.77 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,861$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.46 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,849$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,781$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked PARIVISION | 37c | 1,618$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked PARIVISION | 37c | 1,600$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.97 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,548$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 1,540$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.8 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed PARIVISION | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,506$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,478$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.78 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,419$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.48 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 34c | 1,379$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,345$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.21 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 1,295$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,242$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,138$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.83 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PARIVISION | 34c | 1,124$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,113$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.68 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,045$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 37c | 1,005$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed PARIVISION | 38c | 823$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed PARIVISION | 42c | 821.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…c379backed Team Falcons | 62c | 776.47$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Team Falcons | 64c | 775.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 69c | 769.93$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 36c | 727.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION | 36c | 715.63$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.93 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 706$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed PARIVISION | 15c | 665.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 639.18$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION | 43c | 579.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Team Falcons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 22c | 437.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 433.35$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 408.15$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed PARIVISION | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons | 60c | 394.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 369.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 348.84$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 334.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…daa9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 327.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 32c | 317.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 66c | 304.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Falcons | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 298.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 64c | 262.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Falcons | 79c | 251.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed PARIVISION | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed PARIVISION | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…4588backed Team Falcons | 64c | 247.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed PARIVISION | 38c | 247.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 37c | 240$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Team Falcons | 67c | 237.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed PARIVISION | 38c | 231.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 43c | 231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed PARIVISION | 24c | 225.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.