Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5404efdb5d3fca28af1a2668e342fc9a3e9276d64c14e36a66f9be90deaf38a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Aurora, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 15,405$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,059.61 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 72c | 13,474$9,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,722.07 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Aurora | 68c | 9,962$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 7,856$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.52 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora | 69c | 5,928$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.17 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 69c | 4,453$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.41 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 4,450$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 3,562$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.01 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 3,456$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.85 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 32c | 3,122$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Aurora | 72c | 2,894$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.38 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 2,703$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.03 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 2,477$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.01 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 2,025$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 2,000$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.98 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 1,736$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.64 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Aurora | 65c | 1,704$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,636$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,447$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.71 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Aurora | 32c | 1,389$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.74 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 1,319$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.05 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 50c | 1,133$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Aurora | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Aurora | 2c | 991$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Aurora | 77c | 912.65$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 33c | 869.38$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 832.68$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.68 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Aurora | 2c | 819.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Aurora | 77c | 818$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.86 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 776.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.41 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Aurora | 62c | 751.07$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.66 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 12c | 744.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Aurora | 52c | 742.85$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Aurora | 2c | 705.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Aurora | 62c | 704.29$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 700.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Aurora | 41c | 678.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…9716backed Aurora | 45c | 673.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Aurora | 78c | 633.58$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Aurora | 56c | 601.61$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Aurora | 33c | 586.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 549.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Aurora | 43c | 542.7$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 519$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Aurora | 24c | 500.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Aurora | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Aurora | 44c | 451.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Aurora | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Aurora | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Aurora | 57c | 425$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Aurora | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora | 62c | 373.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora | 48c | 357.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 353.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Aurora | 55c | 311.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 311.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 308.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 33c | 294.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Aurora | 69c | 287.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 261.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Aurora | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 240.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 233.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…f676backed Aurora | 66c | 232.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Aurora | 75c | 216$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Aurora | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Aurora | 74c | 200.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Aurora | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 192.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 180.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Aurora | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 155.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 150.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Aurora | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…91b9backed Aurora | 46c | 140.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Aurora | 74c | 131$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Aurora | 76c | 124.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Aurora | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Aurora | 44c | 107.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Aurora | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Aurora | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Aurora | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Aurora | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 99.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Aurora | 58c | 99.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…9db5backed Aurora | 53c | 93.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Aurora | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Aurora | 68c | 77.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.