TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karachi Kingsof Quetta Gladiators, Karachi Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69ad…31e6backed Quetta Gladiators27c14,793$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.9312158.7%71 W · 50 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Quetta Gladiators58c9,607$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.4911153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Karachi Kings56c6,999$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.864544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b7…6008backed Karachi Kings57c6,687$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.3933340.2%134 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Quetta Gladiators64c5,988$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.475064%32 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Karachi Kings46c4,253$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.452955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Quetta Gladiators20c3,461$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5236445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Quetta Gladiators45c2,139$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4532337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed Karachi Kings38c1,709$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.64245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Quetta Gladiators1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b4…efaebacked Karachi Kings77c1,461$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.943145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Quetta Gladiators7c1,419$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6918923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Quetta Gladiators29c1,186$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.575731.6%18 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Quetta Gladiators43c1,046$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.164143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Karachi Kings79c989.86$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8710356.3%58 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0f…e828backed Quetta Gladiators43c921.8$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.372638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quetta Gladiators49c782.62$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4856937.1%211 W · 358 L-2.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb6…7fb1backed Quetta Gladiators37c777.22$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.692437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed Karachi Kings66c698.44$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1912357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8b0…9f87backed Quetta Gladiators38c614.09$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2414730.6%45 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Quetta Gladiators6c609.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8367931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…b2debacked Quetta Gladiators13c599.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.541612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd780…e5bdbacked Quetta Gladiators7c571.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.295843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Karachi Kings64c570.24$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.776947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Quetta Gladiators41c439.05$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2143840.9%179 W · 259 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karachi Kings44c436.89$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5624940.6%101 W · 148 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Karachi Kings37c389.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.746132.8%20 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Karachi Kings52c386.16$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.93951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked Karachi Kings38c376.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.196048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ea…9496backed Karachi Kings62c368.07$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.877665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6268…e9a9backed Karachi Kings32c359.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+45.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x416b…42eebacked Karachi Kings51c347.94$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Quetta Gladiators44c336$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.649247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Quetta Gladiators39c332$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.033644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Quetta Gladiators55c307.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6276351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Quetta Gladiators16c301.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfb…3ac1backed Karachi Kings51c301.3$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Karachi Kings56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13218541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7090…a5ffbacked Karachi Kings38c286.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3821439.7%85 W · 129 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Karachi Kings59c265.81$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.544535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Quetta Gladiators36c258.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Karachi Kings28c237.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7329631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Karachi Kings32c232.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.415544.5%69 W · 86 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9dd…ca07backed Karachi Kings43c231.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7214343.4%62 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1645…5838backed Karachi Kings45c215.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Quetta Gladiators69c202.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3742344.2%187 W · 236 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed Quetta Gladiators40c193.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4421035.7%75 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Quetta Gladiators25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7526930.5%82 W · 187 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbe…49cebacked Karachi Kings56c182.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7f…5a1dbacked Quetta Gladiators65c179.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.89850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e48…9b0bbacked Karachi Kings57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.499947.5%47 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Quetta Gladiators42c161.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.953148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a7…b119backed Quetta Gladiators30c159.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.132740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86da…39f5backed Karachi Kings78c158.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.699855.1%54 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Karachi Kings51c155.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.477131%22 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Karachi Kings51c155.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5219041.6%79 W · 111 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63c3…0a43backed Quetta Gladiators47c142.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686b…902bbacked Quetta Gladiators16c134.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Karachi Kings63c133.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.189149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2951…d938backed Karachi Kings47c133.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Quetta Gladiators20c129.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6550547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Karachi Kings24c123.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5522843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Quetta Gladiators61c118.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8165451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Karachi Kings26c111.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4619427.3%53 W · 141 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Quetta Gladiators52c110.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.941947.5%199 W · 220 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e8…2137backed Quetta Gladiators45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.353452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x935e…d6e4backed Quetta Gladiators75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.53250%16 W · 16 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc9a6…cbdabacked Karachi Kings50c103.79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.226960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Quetta Gladiators25c101.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.049429.8%28 W · 66 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Quetta Gladiators47c100.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4422647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Quetta Gladiators43c95.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8918419.6%36 W · 148 L-25.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-63.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5025…8aaabacked Karachi Kings36c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.374450%22 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f3…6c94backed Karachi Kings53c92.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6236047.5%171 W · 189 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd69…5ad5backed Karachi Kings66c88.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.742157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1971…acd7backed Karachi Kings36c86.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7612656.3%71 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Karachi Kings57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7519956.3%112 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Quetta Gladiators39c83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.374654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…bec3backed Karachi Kings31c81.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.995236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Quetta Gladiators53c75.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.013551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c6…cda7backed Quetta Gladiators25c75.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.124233.3%14 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52c1…d61fbacked Karachi Kings37c74.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.256947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…b753backed Quetta Gladiators44c74.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.828447.6%40 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeda…375abacked Karachi Kings31c74.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.252128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…1b48backed Karachi Kings78c73.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.316650%83 W · 83 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04d…9590backed Karachi Kings29c71.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Quetta Gladiators22c69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527433.8%25 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f7…65acbacked Karachi Kings30c68.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.855438.9%21 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5986…73dcbacked Quetta Gladiators65c60.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.469860.2%59 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc278…e91fbacked Karachi Kings32c59.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.168250%41 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06b7…e26bbacked Quetta Gladiators43c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6110642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e8…deb2backed Karachi Kings36c53.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.192138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f42…7d52backed Karachi Kings57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd980…25aebacked Karachi Kings29c50.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5987…e287backed Karachi Kings47c50.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.510948.6%53 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Quetta Gladiators45c49.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4917642%74 W · 102 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Karachi Kings44c49.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6312141.3%50 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8801…f667backed Karachi Kings78c48.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632568%17 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Karachi Kings38c48.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.852920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3c…a82cbacked Karachi Kings52c47.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Quetta Gladiators38c46.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5122036.4%80 W · 140 L-23.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.