Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x070592d682562effff03c9e0e3bf063f188bc8af311be9e4a4206b1e2dceb9dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 36,372$21,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,896.19 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed PARIVISION | 41c | 30,600$12,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,423.05 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 22,156$12,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,164.03 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed PARIVISION | 43c | 16,500$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,094.99 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed PARIVISION | 36c | 16,396$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.66 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…ef69backed Team Spirit | 61c | 11,820$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 9,978$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 6c | 8,082$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.37 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION | 48c | 7,666$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.46 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 41c | 7,612$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.82 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 7,365$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Spirit | 47c | 6,086$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.53 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed PARIVISION | 40c | 5,555$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 5,555$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.55 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 64c | 5,066$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.86 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed PARIVISION | 43c | 5,000$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 4,700$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 4,587$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 4,537$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.54 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 31c | 4,502$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.68 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed PARIVISION | 68c | 4,411$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.47 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 59c | 4,238$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.97 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 32c | 4,001$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.68 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 3,947$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.48 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 3,880$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.46 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 3,744$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.48 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 3,562$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 3,557$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.06 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION | 54c | 3,422$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed PARIVISION | 15c | 3,420$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed PARIVISION | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 2,997$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.81 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,994$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.47 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 2,976$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.87 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,808$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 62c | 2,700$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,689$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.41 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,623$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.98 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 2,562$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 2,521$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,448$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,416$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,287$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 2,286$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.83 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed PARIVISION | 40c | 2,217$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…3559backed PARIVISION | 60c | 2,139$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,007$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.57 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed PARIVISION | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,929$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,884$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,856$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,731$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.2 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,696$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.03 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,527$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed PARIVISION | 30c | 1,465$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,447$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.14 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,402$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.22 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,255$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…ed1cbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed PARIVISION | 15c | 1,075$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.47 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,057$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,008$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.27 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.13 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Spirit | 61c | 988.04$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…135cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 939.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Team Spirit | 48c | 932.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.9 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 932.38$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.77 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed PARIVISION | 4c | 912.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed PARIVISION | 36c | 888.3$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 886.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…5055backed Team Spirit | 74c | 880.3$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…daa9backed PARIVISION | 79c | 865.99$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 824.24$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.58 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 758.93$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…fcd3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 41c | 748.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 747.61$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.53 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 41c | 745.61$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed Team Spirit | 59c | 736.19$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 735.09$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 48c | 725.61$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.17 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 720.29$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.68 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Spirit | 33c | 700$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Spirit | 39c | 690.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 669.11$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 655.72$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed PARIVISION | 42c | 646.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 42c | 614.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed PARIVISION | 50c | 610.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.