Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeec83e4141a0b82969ab56fbc9b35f9154267cfee119773a826e6301db3344e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 22,476$13,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,184.75 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 67c | 18,400$12,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 12,163$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.82 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 37c | 9,764$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 6,075$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,803$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.96 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed PARIVISION | 48c | 4,273$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 39c | 4,168$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.26 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 73c | 3,661$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.25 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed PARIVISION | 40c | 3,643$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.15 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed PARIVISION | 38c | 3,011$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked PARIVISION | 27c | 2,784$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed PARIVISION | 13c | 1,941$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,779$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.84 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 1,696$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,605$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,516$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,392$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,379$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.84 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed PARIVISION | 22c | 1,333$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,241$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,068$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,052$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.58 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…a50bbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked PARIVISION | 36c | 964.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 886.36$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION | 43c | 853.6$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 39c | 829.68$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.58 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 773.63$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 761.9$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527b…a9fbbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 754.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 722.36$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.56 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed PARIVISION | 48c | 627.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 623.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed PARIVISION | 20c | 590$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed PARIVISION | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 55c | 492$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed PARIVISION | 7c | 478.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Team Spirit | 65c | 462.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Spirit | 55c | 462.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked PARIVISION | 20c | 460.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…1034backed PARIVISION | 46c | 438.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 61c | 427.77$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed PARIVISION | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked PARIVISION | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 393.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 55c | 359.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 67c | 356.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.01 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 333.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 324.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed PARIVISION | 26c | 304.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed PARIVISION | 50c | 302.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 48c | 287.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…135cbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 228.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 217.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PARIVISION | 42c | 214.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed PARIVISION | 38c | 211.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed PARIVISION | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 188.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed PARIVISION | 45c | 178.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit | 53c | 174.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 173.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 167.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 66c | 159.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Spirit | 64c | 156.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 63c | 156.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…f46ebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 155.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed PARIVISION | 48c | 146.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Team Spirit | 56c | 136.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…71cfbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 129.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…ab87backed PARIVISION | 16c | 128.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed PARIVISION | 44c | 111.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed PARIVISION | 43c | 101.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked PARIVISION | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 99.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Team Spirit | 54c | 95.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Spirit | 66c | 94.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Team Spirit | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed PARIVISION | 48c | 87.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 80.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Spirit | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 75.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Spirit | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked PARIVISION | 32c | 72.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked PARIVISION | 48c | 69.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.