Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0b8f938b433a097802b599d729677056b5dc16d1a905d9b03ee0db4e02a339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed PARIVISION | 48c | 23,358$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,146.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 19,006$10,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,641.14 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Spirit | 52c | 14,453$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,517.33 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 13,801$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 12,520$6,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.36 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 7,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION | 62c | 5,742$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.76 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed PARIVISION | 39c | 5,460$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.63 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 4,843$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.69 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 38c | 3,395$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.51 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed PARIVISION | 48c | 3,302$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.89 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 2,744$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,401$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 2,200$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 36c | 2,066$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.39 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,610$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 1,476$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 2c | 1,332$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed PARIVISION | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Spirit | 53c | 940$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 43c | 880.3$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 65c | 773.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 739.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 45c | 661.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 620.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.49 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed PARIVISION | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Spirit | 17c | 534.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 526.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 449.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed PARIVISION | 78c | 432.41$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Spirit | 47c | 419.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 62c | 401.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.87 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Team Spirit | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 337.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 330$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Spirit | 60c | 319.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…cf46backed Team Spirit | 13c | 309.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 306.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 289.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Spirit | 38c | 286.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION | 43c | 233.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 230.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Spirit | 31c | 205.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 49c | 202.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…7c54backed Team Spirit | 19c | 188.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit | 14c | 148.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Team Spirit | 21c | 143.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…59d4backed Team Spirit | 7c | 140.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Spirit | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed PARIVISION | 71c | 127.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Team Spirit | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…700ebacked Team Spirit | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 117.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed PARIVISION | 49c | 113.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…1b7ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 105.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked PARIVISION | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…79a8backed Team Spirit | 29c | 100.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Spirit | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Spirit | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Team Spirit | 19c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Spirit | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Spirit | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 77.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Team Spirit | 64c | 73.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…59d2backed PARIVISION | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Team Spirit | 58c | 65.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed PARIVISION | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Spirit | 23c | 55.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…9530backed Team Spirit | 57c | 48.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…5adcbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 55c | 43.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Team Spirit | 64c | 40.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 36.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed PARIVISION | 42c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.