NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb02055ae39812df72a8fd1e9defee1004b3822bf114204f4ba307d042ad1fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Warriors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,767,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,947,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 847 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Warriors | 55c | 84,220$46,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,321.17 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Suns | 34c | 72,709$24,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,727.13 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 56c | 67,650$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Suns | 46c | 65,000$29,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,099.92 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 55c | 56,375$30,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,855.98 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Suns | 47c | 49,540$23,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,255.94 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Warriors | 54c | 49,540$26,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,751.33 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 69c | 46,869$32,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,761.97 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 76c | 45,588$34,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,604.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Suns | 38c | 45,000$17,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,825 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 55c | 33,222$18,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,172.1 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 44c | 33,039$14,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,442.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 58c | 32,959$18,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,968.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Suns | 38c | 29,918$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,617.63 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 53c | 29,467$15,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,617.53 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns | 33c | 28,839$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,352.9 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 40c | 27,417$11,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.53 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 64c | 25,085$16,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,121.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Suns | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.08 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 44c | 21,250$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.92 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 54c | 18,420$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Warriors | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 46c | 15,000$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Suns | 45c | 13,898$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.7 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Suns | 45c | 13,603$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,481.69 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Suns | 79c | 11,583$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.28 | 114 | 71.9%82 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 53c | 11,427$6,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.08 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Warriors | 1c | 11,217$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 42c | 11,027$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 56c | 10,828$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 45c | 10,306$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Warriors | 55c | 10,103$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,552.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Suns | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.96 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 55c | 9,864$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.31 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 46c | 9,742$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.72 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 55c | 9,604$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.72 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Warriors | 55c | 8,915$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.47 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 46c | 8,682$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 34c | 8,548$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.51 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 54c | 8,451$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.44 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Suns | 43c | 8,019$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.52 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suns | 47c | 7,794$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.55 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 54c | 7,596$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 44c | 7,159$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.43 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 22c | 7,064$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.35 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors | 45c | 6,993$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.82 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Suns | 46c | 6,912$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 63c | 6,889$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.27 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Suns | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Suns | 67c | 6,427$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Suns | 44c | 6,334$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 47c | 6,268$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.25 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 46c | 6,222$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.88 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Suns | 49c | 6,089$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.8 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 45c | 5,873$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dce…6caabacked Suns | 77c | 5,655$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Suns | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 44c | 5,555$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.8 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Suns | 45c | 5,432$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.26 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Warriors | 53c | 5,400$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,185$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.29 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…6ad7backed Warriors | 54c | 5,098$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…34b6backed Suns | 45c | 5,026$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Warriors | 54c | 5,016$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.48 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Warriors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Warriors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 31c | 4,986$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.45 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…b7d3backed Suns | 45c | 4,975$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…4d45backed Warriors | 54c | 4,898$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 4,805$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Suns | 48c | 4,658$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.05 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 55c | 4,082$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.68 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Suns | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Warriors | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Warriors | 51c | 3,814$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.43 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Warriors | 46c | 3,630$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Warriors | 51c | 3,541$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 61c | 3,535$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…f4febacked Warriors | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…c3abbacked Suns | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 54c | 3,500$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7af…9796backed Warriors | 55c | 3,447$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…875bbacked Suns | 45c | 3,439$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Suns | 63c | 3,159$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.17 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Warriors | 8c | 3,150$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Warriors | 53c | 3,002$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.85 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Suns | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…82d5backed Suns | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…fe17backed Warriors | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 26c | 2,915$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.21 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Suns | 43c | 2,854$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.76 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Suns | 34c | 2,640$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.84 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 2,630$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 54c | 2,577$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.57 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 46c | 2,543$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.33 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Sunsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Suns won
- Warriors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.