Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66285628c6f606528cbee37d82c5d80556d3566682a8d034dcfad9a1650d3bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Cilic, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Cilic | 47c | 4,000$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Cilic | 7c | 3,224$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cilic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Borges | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Borges | 51c | 1,972$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Cilic | 20c | 1,751$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borges | 58c | 1,571$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.84 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cilic | 38c | 1,485$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Borges | 50c | 1,141$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.64 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cilic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Borges | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Cilic | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cilic | 50c | 760$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cilic | 3c | 719.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Borges | 50c | 662.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Cilic | 9c | 549.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Borges | 59c | 426.82$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cilic | 11c | 409.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Borges | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Borges | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Borges | 53c | 371$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Borges | 52c | 337.15$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Borges | 52c | 282.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cilic | 47c | 262.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Cilic | 48c | 235$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Borges | 79c | 228.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Cilic | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Borges | 49c | 211.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…e3abbacked Borges | 58c | 209.85$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Borges | 53c | 208.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Cilic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Borges | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 636 | 50.3%320 W · 316 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Borges | 51c | 195.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Borges | 52c | 194.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 63c | 189.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Cilic | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Cilic | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Cilic | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Cilic | 34c | 145.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Cilic | 51c | 142$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cilic | 24c | 138$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Cilic | 18c | 134.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Cilic | 39c | 132.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cilic | 37c | 129.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Borges | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Cilic | 51c | 102.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Borges | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 369 | 37.9%140 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 70c | 92.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Cilic | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Borges | 69c | 80.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Borges | 50c | 60.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Cilic | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cilic | 48c | 57.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Borges | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Borges | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Cilic | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cilic | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Borges | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 308 | 55.8%172 W · 136 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cilic | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Borges | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Cilic | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Cilic | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Borges | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Borges | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Borges | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Borges | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Cilic | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Borges | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Borges | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cilic | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Borges | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Cilic | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Borges | 50c | 39.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Cilic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Cilic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Borges | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Borges | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Borges | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Borges | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…5758backed Borges | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Borges | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Borges | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Cilic | 51c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Borges | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Borges | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Borges | 78c | 32.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Borges | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Cilic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Borges | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Cilic | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Borges | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Cilic | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Cilic | 38c | 28.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Cilic | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Borges | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Borges | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Borges | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Borges | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Borges | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Cilic | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesthis page
- Cilic vs. Borges: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs BorgesBorges won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Borges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.