Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea53a01ff00aa2b3c5d6b2dae9f9207d8ee4c2e44853df2b8ecd483194fe2a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michelsenof Michelsen, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tien | 63c | 17,414$10,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,904.06 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Michelsen | 37c | 10,755$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Michelsen | 40c | 7,211$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.52 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tien | 51c | 5,509$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.25 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michelsen | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen | 60c | 3,774$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Tien | 60c | 2,217$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Tien | 63c | 1,267$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Tien | 64c | 1,239$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.2 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Michelsen | 38c | 1,154$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.43 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Michelsen | 38c | 1,029$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.95 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Tien | 63c | 1,026$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.44 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Michelsen | 42c | 941.6$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.46 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tien | 63c | 873.98$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.61 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michelsen | 36c | 796$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Michelsen | 37c | 666$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Tien | 60c | 661.7$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Michelsen | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 65c | 447.08$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tien | 58c | 445.1$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Tien | 62c | 410$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Michelsen | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Michelsen | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Michelsen | 37c | 339.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Michelsen | 38c | 320$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Tien | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Tien | 54c | 285.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Michelsen | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Michelsen | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Michelsen | 37c | 259.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Michelsen | 39c | 258.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Michelsen | 37c | 254.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Michelsen | 37c | 250$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tien | 42c | 230.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Tien | 15c | 230.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Michelsen | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Tien | 63c | 217.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Tien | 21c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Michelsen | 38c | 192.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Tien | 50c | 176.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Tien | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michelsen | 37c | 167.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Tien | 63c | 161.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Michelsen | 58c | 158.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tien | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michelsen | 64c | 151.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tien | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tien | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Michelsen | 39c | 144.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Tien | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Tien | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Michelsen | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michelsen | 39c | 89.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tien | 33c | 85.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michelsen | 35c | 85.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Tien | 62c | 84.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tien | 40c | 84.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Tien | 40c | 82.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michelsen | 61c | 82.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Michelsen | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…9b95backed Michelsen | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Tien | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 54c | 65.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Tien | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Tien | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…6ed2backed Tien | 60c | 59.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Michelsen | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Michelsen | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Michelsen | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tien | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Michelsen | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Tien | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Michelsen | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Michelsen | 38c | 44.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Tien | 63c | 43.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Michelsen | 36c | 41.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Tien | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michelsen | 38c | 39.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michelsen | 39c | 39.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Tien | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Michelsen | 37c | 37.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michelsen | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Michelsen | 55c | 35.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Tien | 60c | 35.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…ae5dbacked Tien | 63c | 32.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…4c36backed Tien | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Tien | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Tien | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Tien | 65c | 30.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Tien | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Michelsen | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Tien | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…1c69backed Michelsen | 41c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Michelsen | 71c | 26.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Tien | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Tien | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Tien | 54c | 24.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Tien | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Michelsen | 51c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs TienMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.