TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb4…7595backed No40c6,545$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.95747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No26c5,091$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.1768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes77c4,168$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.4432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No25c3,668$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7512231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes75c3,600$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70079650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes75c3,161$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37113547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No23c3,034$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.0479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes78c3,000$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.993060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes39c2,966$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.8318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes76c2,923$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes28c2,752$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No31c2,502$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.227458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No24c2,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.0824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,666$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes77c1,553$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1965740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No58c1,529$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2914732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes77c1,387$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.564339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes38c1,313$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0840046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Yes75c1,288$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.283669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad69…815ebacked Yes50c1,262$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.391241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes75c1,250$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.512037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed No60c1,218$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.761040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes21c1,171$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.329111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes77c1,111$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.476055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes65c970$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.94055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No23c945.54$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.0717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes76c800$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No24c720.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes76c682.83$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.959754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes40c632.31$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes8c629.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.015032%16 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No36c550$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes38c550$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20921353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes76c525.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No22c505.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7517447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No22c480$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d9…ef73backed No25c448$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+184.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes64c391.36$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes78c386.22$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No24c364$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.644035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes55c361.89$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.145633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes40c357.2$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.888825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes39c354.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.185349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes49c335.26$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.656741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked No24c330.8$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.412748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes39c328.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes78c319.23$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2498742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No24c313$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes75c283.56$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.673262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a05…f894backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes77c260$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.220447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No23c252.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.561,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No24c252.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes9c226.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No35c212.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes68c204$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.72825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x863a…2b7bbacked Yes76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes74c189.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No31c182.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.57146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes77c155$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.34245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes75c154.88$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.311030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No24c146$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes79c137.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045b…9cd5backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b29…d9f6backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd71…c879backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ed…2a77backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Yes37c130.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes76c130.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.228155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.13145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.425637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Yes77c129.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cb…e02fbacked Yes74c124$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No25c121.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.493348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes76c120$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.26248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No24c118.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.312055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No24c101.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No22c101.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.824151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7614754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes25c99.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes78c96.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes65c91.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Yes77c80.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609241.3%38 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Yes72c76.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.