Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3494efcd06ff53ad06ad27ac3d8aa87cea87ef50716639e26d254fc9f3260978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 0c | 14,575$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 12,300$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 6,945$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.39 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 26c | 5,843$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.87 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 55c | 4,924$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.68 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 3,567$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.06 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.33 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 2,769$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.66 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 76c | 2,742$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.35 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 12c | 2,724$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 40c | 2,612$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.03 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 58c | 2,224$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.92 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 2,003$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.44 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 15c | 1,288$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 10c | 1,028$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.78 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 78c | 922.79$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 63c | 826.01$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 6c | 823.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.72 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 9c | 673.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.35 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 31c | 641.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.62 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 29c | 628.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.11 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 10c | 515$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 9c | 480$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Yes | 9c | 411$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 6c | 384.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 8c | 294$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 9c | 278.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 51c | 255.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 25c | 250.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 43c | 229.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 55c | 228.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 10c | 207.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +332%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…f39fbacked Yes | 80c | 195.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 31c | 163.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 49c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 18c | 75.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.