TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Utah, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$680,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 554 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb18c…0d06backed Sharks40c158,857$63,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,362.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah61c134,920$82,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,487.2315953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah60c129,634$77,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,780.3988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Utah62c46,297$28,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,704.369548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sharks38c30,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,60030944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Utah64c29,602$18,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,810.6611955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sharks39c26,000$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,86028353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks38c23,614$9,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,539.071,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks40c20,313$8,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,176.071,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah60c19,988$11,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,993.0938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9542552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Sharks39c14,888$5,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,056.9210554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks40c13,667$5,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,200.2824845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Sharks69c13,498$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.7910565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks38c13,445$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,350.7552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Utah60c12,600$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,56015949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Utah60c9,407$5,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.3210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sharks39c7,748$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,726.2824654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Utah61c7,573$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.5327243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks54c7,311$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.9885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks37c7,001$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.731,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah37c6,331$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.0389547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Sharks41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5401346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks38c5,749$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.2328652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Utah59c5,563$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.3532946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a0…5194backed Utah61c5,337$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5202…62a9backed Utah59c5,184$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbec…eef5backed Sharks41c5,075$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sharks40c5,050$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.91,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Sharks40c4,440$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.422150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks40c4,365$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.671,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks38c4,330$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sharks38c4,328$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.621,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Utah3c4,015$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d5…7f0bbacked Sharks39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sharks37c3,837$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.517347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Utah1c3,825$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6432744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Sharks65c3,579$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5515057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Sharks38c3,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1752740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Utah60c3,400$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Utah61c3,304$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks40c3,302$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.212,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Sharks39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8304134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Sharks39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.966835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Utah39c2,975$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb5…502fbacked Sharks39c2,780$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4033…9a6fbacked Utah61c2,750$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Sharks37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.755446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sharks37c2,650$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Sharks39c2,400$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4642272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Sharks40c2,241$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed Utah52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed Utah61c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ebd…a1e7backed Sharks38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks40c1,950$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.9920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Sharks38c1,950$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.885651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Utah61c1,900$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Sharks39c1,856$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.415855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…7b9cbacked Utah1c1,850$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Sharks41c1,750$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah58c1,746$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.7983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah24c1,609$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.871,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Sharks37c1,601$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.4139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sharks38c1,546$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sharks36c1,526$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.3236038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Sharks39c1,516$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.7638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Sharks63c1,426$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.736547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sharks39c1,366$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.6687447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks53c1,333$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sharks38c1,329$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.5637649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah37c1,205$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5553…9235backed Sharks37c1,204$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Sharks39c1,172$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.92445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks73c1,148$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks52c1,131$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4782043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sharks40c1,077$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.9664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked Sharks39c1,055$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Utah61c1,055$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Utah61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Sharks37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Sharks58c985.47$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.91973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sharks39c945.74$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.8862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks38c870.59$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.751,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Sharks41c834.44$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.442250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Sharks40c814.23$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1848748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Sharks37c811$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+59.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Utah62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…b19bbacked Utah63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b06…fbf1backed Sharks38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah29c767.82$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.761,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Sharks40c756$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.61,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sharks40c754.15$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4930152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.