NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb327583790a45df95080fe5eaac6a1cc02d0fc4440b98990f27c0ad794cc00f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Utah, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Sharks | 63c | 65,039$40,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,064.32 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Utah | 37c | 43,303$16,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,021.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 37c | 15,631$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 37c | 1,389$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Utah | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Utah | 38c | 525.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Utah | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Utah | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Sharks | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Utah | 37c | 216$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Utah | 38c | 186.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Sharks | 61c | 157.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Utah | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Utah | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Utah | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Utah | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Utah | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Utah | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Utah | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Utah | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Sharks | 61c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Utah | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Utah | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…eb6cbacked Sharks | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Sharks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. SharksSharks won
- Utah vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.