Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bc634a24fa254a0fa46adb96b56f77f57926052d951c98e29134b31060ad75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc458…ef36backed No | 76c | 42,309$32,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,154.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…8b9ebacked Yes | 24c | 42,309$10,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 69c | 6,448$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 52c | 3,141$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.8 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,265$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.19 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 46c | 1,731$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.03 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 50c | 1,440$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 23c | 1,428$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,397$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 55c | 1,361$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.55 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…0359backed Yes | 44c | 1,358$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 39c | 1,273$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.56 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,126$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 1,101$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,019$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.92 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 2c | 954.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 75c | 767.89$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.62 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…e86bbacked No | 50c | 724.26$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 714$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 14c | 714$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 65c | 685.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…beecbacked No | 53c | 563.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 10c | 552.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…7113backed Yes | 51c | 487.07$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 3c | 466.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 27c | 450$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…c965backed Yes | 8c | 443.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 411.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 33c | 401.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…dd0cbacked No | 61c | 329.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 15c | 315.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 311.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 18c | 299.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 278.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 50c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 35c | 242.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…3f06backed No | 43c | 231.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 67c | 228.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 23c | 227.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 17c | 226.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 73c | 210.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 23c | 199.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 52c | 198.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 67c | 179.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 35c | 172.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…3f46backed No | 73c | 164.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…a11cbacked No | 77c | 161$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…8d5dbacked No | 77c | 147.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…2ac7backed No | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 42c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Yes | 29c | 136.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe943…524cbacked Yes | 25c | 131.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 29c | 123.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed No | 65c | 122$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 109.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 35c | 86.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 78.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…6eabbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…7d87backed Yes | 30c | 70.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 66.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…1d55backed No | 77c | 64.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…d394backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…8e6cbacked Yes | 78c | 51.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…cb07backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…0f0fbacked Yes | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…d143backed No | 77c | 45.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…d80ebacked No | 66c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…bfedbacked No | 77c | 42.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…9e9abacked No | 73c | 40.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6c9backed Yes | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…57c3backed No | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…e79ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9275…e911backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…ac55backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…09bcbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…e02dbacked No | 77c | 33.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…503fbacked No | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa35…7054backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…2493backed No | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…65bfbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…a77fbacked No | 76c | 24.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 55c | 23.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.