TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,043,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,056,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked No70c85,000$59,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes29c48,692$14,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,340.5115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes30c46,790$14,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,037.0127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No71c28,171$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,170.5410962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c24,229$17,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,056.66,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes31c17,820$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.867028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c12,032$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.231,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c5…57b1backed Yes30c7,257$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…378abacked Yes30c7,103$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes18c7,035$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.2929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…a97fbacked Yes30c6,883$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No70c6,000$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8304643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No69c5,555$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.052540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…2838backed Yes30c5,264$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9638649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2194…30e3backed Yes30c4,438$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.4540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6773…e551backed Yes30c4,436$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b8…32c2backed Yes30c4,351$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb413…461ebacked Yes30c4,236$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ca4…62b5backed Yes30c4,166$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.8837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No70c4,059$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1783…35a6backed No70c4,012$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb23a…9442backed No70c3,927$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f58…aa47backed Yes30c3,919$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe819…ebb5backed Yes30c3,864$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec93…58bcbacked Yes30c3,849$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c61…7a34backed Yes30c3,729$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc43b…cfb5backed No70c3,617$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4b…0c72backed No70c3,536$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x245c…b8d7backed No70c3,524$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf82d…ae0fbacked Yes30c3,510$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No70c3,461$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.4210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c3,394$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.21,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a7a…a19abacked Yes30c3,368$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d46…577abacked Yes30c3,146$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cb…0fa9backed No70c3,108$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x192a…d775backed Yes30c3,104$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…3f23backed Yes30c2,901$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7542…fb53backed No70c2,871$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe16c…2810backed No70c2,810$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b69…a195backed No70c2,787$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac0…a75abacked Yes30c2,737$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab11…1e58backed Yes30c2,708$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.4450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No74c2,691$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.510768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1c…431bbacked Yes30c2,681$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6f…01c0backed No70c2,681$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05d…148abacked No70c2,499$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ca…8802backed No70c2,463$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3b…69c0backed Yes30c2,461$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e70…4d91backed Yes30c2,437$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aaa…0ce5backed Yes30c2,423$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5a…347bbacked No70c2,343$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabe5…3d41backed Yes30c2,340$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…3c38backed Yes30c2,324$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x439a…751cbacked Yes30c2,260$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6da…08b2backed Yes30c2,252$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5dd…21afbacked Yes30c2,252$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39bc…9d68backed Yes30c2,243$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee3…baa6backed No70c2,198$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f08…ba18backed Yes30c2,192$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9153…6973backed No70c2,182$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b2…214fbacked No70c2,125$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9a2…e165backed Yes30c2,106$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfb…58b4backed No70c2,028$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e1…f9babacked No70c2,002$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60046551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…d442backed Yes30c1,976$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37bc…1d47backed Yes30c1,963$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.950%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcac5…f0f1backed No70c1,935$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ba…3a48backed Yes30c1,930$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6698…f1e5backed Yes30c1,866$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…058cbacked No70c1,848$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcee…7f22backed Yes30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe977…6e1dbacked Yes30c1,830$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc52d…a80ebacked Yes30c1,818$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb7…8beebacked Yes30c1,816$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af0…eaf7backed No70c1,814$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca2…28a3backed Yes30c1,809$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6908…2fd1backed Yes30c1,804$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…cf3dbacked No70c1,797$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8d…bb54backed Yes30c1,781$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…1c82backed No70c1,780$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697d…3afcbacked No70c1,775$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0175…44b8backed Yes30c1,764$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No71c1,761$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.569749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd02…75cfbacked No70c1,737$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…ce30backed No70c1,693$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0690…d64cbacked Yes30c1,683$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7723…e62dbacked Yes30c1,678$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e67…a0d2backed Yes30c1,675$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb393…9546backed Yes30c1,672$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6a…7ac5backed No70c1,647$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.15100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+115%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…6050backed Yes30c1,640$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…cf52backed No70c1,638$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6e…670dbacked No70c1,590$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c7…9521backed No70c1,583$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aba…91bbbacked No70c1,580$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.