Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9832670e81780526054c54739778c700567107e33e3b68e32ceb96936c93e00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 6,282$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,942$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.72 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 29c | 2,689$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 34c | 2,013$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.52 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,979$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.93 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 1,735$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 35c | 1,427$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.91 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 1,003$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 891.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 851.72$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 59c | 848.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…536bbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 71c | 709.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Yes | 28c | 707$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 609$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 31c | 564.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 397.68$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 311.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 68c | 250$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Yes | 35c | 248.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 239.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 31c | 224.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 29c | 220.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 61c | 212.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 28c | 211.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 29c | 210.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 69c | 197.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 183.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed No | 52c | 174.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 48c | 147.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 29c | 134.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 30c | 97.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 39c | 96.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…01a8backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 40c | 61.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 59c | 59.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…3373backed Yes | 39c | 57.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 49c | 52.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…32c5backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 71c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 42c | 45.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 58c | 43.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 40.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 40.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Yes | 27c | 40.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 72c | 35.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 71c | 28.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 71c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 229 | 61.6%141 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 72c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 67c | 20.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.