Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddb5341aad88d494fd419591edc68d001f975e64d98923f0943a66db1493f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $856,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Yes | 43c | 230,790$99,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,550.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 57c | 125,019$71,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,702.83 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 57c | 62,679$35,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,694.71 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 58,374$25,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,309.62 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 56,198$32,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,032.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 49,592$27,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,916.48 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 21,586$12,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,564.18 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 59c | 16,665$9,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,832.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 62c | 16,193$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 42c | 13,916$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…00f8backed Yes | 49c | 12,680$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,442.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 12,062$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.03 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 10,706$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.85 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.98 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 9,618$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 58c | 9,145$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 57c | 9,130$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.11 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 42c | 8,329$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.9 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 7,055$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.25 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb112…c4dbbacked No | 4c | 6,665$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed No | 0c | 6,592$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 35c | 6,397$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.41 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed Yes | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 59c | 4,915$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 4,803$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.71 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 4,453$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.09 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 57c | 4,404$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.49 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.76 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 3,584$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.57 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 54c | 3,185$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.89 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 59c | 2,983$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 2,983$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.43 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 2,646$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.29 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 39c | 2,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed No | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 43c | 2,379$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 57c | 2,293$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.27 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.94 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,804$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.52 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Yes | 41c | 1,520$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.95 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,434$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.52 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 43c | 1,422$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 43c | 1,327$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,327$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.56 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,243$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 59c | 1,089$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.32 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 42c | 1,056$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.44 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,039$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 55c | 887.89$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 36c | 800.17$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 41c | 780.49$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.49 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 57c | 761.97$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Yes | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 56c | 748.85$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 58c | 688$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.92 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 625.8$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.62 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 57c | 619.76$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 6c | 603.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 42c | 590.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 12c | 576.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 548.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 36c | 543.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 541.85$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 41c | 537.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.73 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 42c | 521.43$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 43c | 514.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 44c | 458.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 45c | 444.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 436.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.