Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2982d8385d9afb3bb0d061e6141347143a441ce16dd7bcce130a4aa414561cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 1c | 13,353$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed Yes | 47c | 7,533$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 15c | 5,527$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,955$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 13c | 4,936$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…1cf3backed Yes | 49c | 4,755$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,627$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,886$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.89 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 74c | 3,833$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.4 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 14c | 3,461$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 62c | 2,570$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed No | 65c | 2,523$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 25c | 2,165$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,949$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.22 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 74c | 1,808$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 42c | 1,714$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 58c | 1,683$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.31 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,665$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,556$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.3 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,484$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…9124backed No | 63c | 1,455$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…67e0backed No | 37c | 1,450$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 28c | 1,437$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.24 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,381$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.94 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,335$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 35c | 1,283$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed No | 54c | 1,153$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 71c | 1,150$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 1,131$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 80c | 1,115$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.97 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…8309backed No | 74c | 958.53$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed No | 78c | 902.59$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 61c | 893.24$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Yes | 27c | 826.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 61c | 811.84$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…17d2backed No | 38c | 764.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…17b1backed No | 44c | 752.22$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed No | 79c | 710.69$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 14c | 702.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 3c | 679.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Yes | 16c | 633.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 10c | 625.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 55c | 568.62$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 78c | 565.88$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…055abacked Yes | 17c | 517.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 14c | 504.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 23c | 472.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 31c | 463.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 452.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 433.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 13c | 422$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 22c | 418.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 72c | 416.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 32c | 406.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 15c | 346.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 340.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 26c | 338.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…fb65backed Yes | 7c | 337.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…4dcebacked No | 39c | 309.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…923cbacked No | 38c | 309.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 51c | 278.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…a0a2backed Yes | 8c | 272.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed No | 37c | 256.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 9c | 253.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed Yes | 44c | 249.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4636…1052backed Yes | 33c | 242.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…cb3dbacked Yes | 8c | 238.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked No | 62c | 225.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 49c | 224.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…447cbacked No | 69c | 219.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…4dc7backed Yes | 9c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Yes | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…6c28backed Yes | 16c | 195.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 44c | 188.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 25c | 176.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 11c | 175.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…3f28backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…23b0backed Yes | 23c | 173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 20c | 166$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 24c | 163.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 77c | 156.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed No | 35c | 149.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…a091backed Yes | 67c | 137.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 64c | 130.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 58c | 130.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…b571backed Yes | 31c | 129.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 36c | 129$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…b9d4backed No | 64c | 125.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 45c | 122.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…215dbacked No | 80c | 120.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…e4a8backed No | 71c | 113.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.