TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Rangers, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$933,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$957,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Rangers58c132,800$77,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,02410349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Rangers58c110,925$64,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,269.8317749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blackhawks42c79,954$33,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,373.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Blackhawks42c67,085$28,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,909.5910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blackhawks42c30,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,40019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks42c25,582$10,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,821.762,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Rangers13c21,533$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.857844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers57c19,470$11,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,105.488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rangers57c15,448$8,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,805.4122550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a8…2829backed Rangers57c13,278$7,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,568.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa617…111ebacked Rangers57c13,200$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,52410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks42c11,230$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,508.571,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Rangers56c10,386$5,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.432343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blackhawks42c10,119$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.0447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blackhawks43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Blackhawks42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.8212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks77c9,474$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.471,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d3…593ebacked Blackhawks44c8,800$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks42c8,168$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.151045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rangers36c8,000$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.9689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers58c7,876$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.741,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e66…f8cbbacked Blackhawks44c7,700$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Blackhawks43c7,674$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.42650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f95…8b86backed Blackhawks44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…753ebacked Rangers56c6,800$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd023…0211backed Blackhawks43c6,800$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2d…1796backed Blackhawks43c6,700$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks42c6,152$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.5952050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c6…2c17backed Blackhawks43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks43c5,814$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.9523047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Rangers0c5,750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers12c5,671$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.5218237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks42c5,555$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks42c5,531$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.862,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6767…21edbacked Rangers57c5,245$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x292d…ebf4backed Blackhawks43c5,218$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…c845backed Rangers57c5,101$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ce1…3a6abacked Rangers56c5,078$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers56c5,026$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.541,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Blackhawks43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8502850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers33c4,960$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.3462951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6475…3b04backed Rangers56c4,920$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blackhawks43c4,790$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.227548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10a…b4dabacked Blackhawks43c4,779$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Blackhawks43c4,700$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.976835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Blackhawks59c4,661$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.6110554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x937e…1de6backed Rangers56c4,600$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,57620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Blackhawks43c4,444$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.072343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d3…6f81backed Rangers57c4,358$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…1cdabacked Blackhawks43c4,350$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Blackhawks42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.424440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.1828652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb461…76cfbacked Blackhawks44c3,530$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…1dccbacked Rangers57c3,530$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Rangers57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Rangers58c3,495$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.221861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Rangers59c3,330$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.5418840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Rangers48c3,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers56c2,900$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Rangers61c2,565$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.73964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rangers9c2,550$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Rangers59c2,500$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7517744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blackhawks43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Blackhawks48c2,233$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.44447.7%21 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks67c2,116$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.492,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks42c2,113$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.7593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blackhawks43c2,075$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.8469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5e…8270backed Blackhawks44c2,003$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Rangers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks42c1,948$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.711,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Blackhawks43c1,824$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.679052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Rangers49c1,808$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…51f1backed Blackhawks44c1,795$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da7…b179backed Rangers57c1,786$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c0…22e8backed Blackhawks44c1,786$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rangers57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks43c1,744$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.1943743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Rangers34c1,742$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Blackhawks42c1,700$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Rangers57c1,684$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Blackhawks43c1,674$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.428253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blackhawks42c1,534$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Rangers57c1,505$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85820951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers58c1,505$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.391,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Blackhawks43c1,493$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.9119051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b6…ceb1backed Blackhawks44c1,437$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Rangers20c1,425$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8318132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks43c1,405$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.0564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6e…d52ebacked Rangers57c1,364$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.481442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdadb…ee44backed Blackhawks44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks43c1,326$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.051,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddf…eba4backed Blackhawks43c1,300$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks41c1,200$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers59c1,181$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.953354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks43c1,174$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Blackhawks42c1,167$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.087750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.