NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c38b97b10b276bb870a544b0403afee2a5d9593676bcedb48b2bda56780998d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Rangers, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 7,200$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Rangers | 33c | 7,200$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rangers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Rangers | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cf…0e3ebacked Blackhawks | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rangers | 24c | 1,275$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.69 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Rangers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blackhawks | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Rangers | 35c | 277$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks | 79c | 267$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…bbf8backed Rangers | 34c | 157$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…c377backed Blackhawks | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…a00cbacked Rangers | 34c | 136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…fe4dbacked Blackhawks | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blackhawks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Rangers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Rangers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blackhawks | 66c | 74.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 35c | 73.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Blackhawks | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 32c | 57.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Rangers | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Blackhawks | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…4761backed Blackhawks | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Rangers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.