TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,376,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,465,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,376,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets52c120,000$62,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,399.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks17c68,017$11,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,454.261,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks39c57,583$22,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,887.051,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks18c49,109$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,354.392,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets1c40,360$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks18c33,770$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,754.612,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Mavericks35c30,110$10,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,502.3621944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets73c26,523$19,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,266.3359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…1379backed Mavericks12c26,125$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,938.151414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets71c25,435$18,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,049.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Mavericks26c22,442$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,717.0414025%35 W · 105 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks18c18,916$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,511.335547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Mavericks18c16,217$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,297.6710930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Nuggets47c16,101$7,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,584.126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets80c14,950$11,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,9124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks17c14,367$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,862.7869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Nuggets79c13,380$10,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,564.648863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Mavericks30c11,498$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,003.6238649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e0…f075backed Mavericks17c11,109$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,200.751421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Mavericks20c11,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nuggets2c10,434$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0425016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Nuggets43c10,253$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.1914243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets73c10,026$7,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,275.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks18c10,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Mavericks18c10,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2001323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks17c10,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.9335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Mavericks59c9,873$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.8814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eef…76bbbacked Mavericks18c8,705$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,138.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+126.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63af…3438backed Nuggets75c8,489$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,369.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks18c8,150$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,672.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks17c8,127$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,745.5247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks18c7,651$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,273.8235651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Nuggets77c7,600$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,87216942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d53…c882backed Mavericks25c7,446$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks23c7,420$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,735.9331044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks49c7,112$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Nuggets69c7,084$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9007353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets65c6,841$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.421,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Mavericks25c6,693$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.0632827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Mavericks35c6,520$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,246.057450%37 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Mavericks18c6,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9209944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Mavericks27c5,612$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,112.3924038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets59c5,414$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.892,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks18c5,327$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Mavericks25c5,282$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9824040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Mavericks18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks18c4,968$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.6155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks22c4,962$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Mavericks25c4,917$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.5913250%66 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Mavericks16c4,712$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.2617441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b3…2e90backed Nuggets78c4,709$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.041553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x748f…59d0backed Nuggets4c4,601$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Mavericks19c4,184$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.212147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets65c4,050$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.021,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks14c4,017$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.671,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Mavericks18c3,851$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.5544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Mavericks18c3,578$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.0727840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets4c3,561$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c5…7e8bbacked Mavericks18c3,554$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mavericks22c3,534$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.5534227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Nuggets5c3,380$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.993633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Mavericks32c3,355$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.6516848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5e…c375backed Mavericks17c3,192$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+318.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Mavericks32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12513153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets71c3,047$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.861,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks17c3,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.071,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks17c2,942$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.962,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Nuggets60c2,934$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.035959.3%35 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Nuggets75c2,700$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02514639.7%58 W · 88 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks38c2,519$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9748046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets79c2,498$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.929652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mavericks17c2,459$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.889851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Mavericks23c2,360$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.314843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Mavericks29c2,322$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.7510049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Mavericks18c2,223$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.026544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mavericks17c2,078$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.632,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks16c2,054$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.7740035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Mavericks18c2,053$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.286636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mavericks21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Nuggets80c1,986$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.6623140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Mavericks26c1,969$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.3212541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Mavericks24c1,800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3681921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks17c1,748$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks25c1,633$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.4595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets1c1,554$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets71c1,533$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.0944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets68c1,511$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.383,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mavericks18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Mavericks16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb718…7d64backed Nuggets42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Nuggets59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88517637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35fe…95f7backed Mavericks27c1,492$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.321723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Mavericks16c1,376$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.0715945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets69c1,300$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Nuggets50c1,278$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64311261.6%69 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets78c1,254$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.7758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcad…c851backed Nuggets76c1,230$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.93850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2291…e3f7backed Nuggets1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.