NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0ce09f8c47531094317131ac4262ad7f450bd28bdcce03a21ddca774670431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $757,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings | 53c | 138,036$73,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,442.06 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Kraken | 52c | 80,687$41,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,947.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Kraken | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Kraken | 48c | 26,003$12,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,481.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Red Wings | 52c | 21,100$10,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,128 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Kraken | 46c | 15,550$7,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,153 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…44dfbacked Red Wings | 6c | 14,533$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,661.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 49c | 13,632$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.39 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 39c | 11,127$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.86 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Kraken | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 54c | 7,949$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.09 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…dad4backed Kraken | 48c | 5,139$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…056dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 5,054$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Red Wings | 53c | 5,000$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…118dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 4,942$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 34c | 4,920$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.64 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 4,880$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…903dbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,857$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…8338backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,732$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c3…89aebacked Kraken | 47c | 4,726$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kraken | 48c | 4,387$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.94 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Red Wings | 44c | 4,290$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.14 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,272$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Red Wings | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.35 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 44c | 3,790$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.55 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 46c | 3,754$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.84 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings | 54c | 3,720$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,487$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.75 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Kraken | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,962$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.04 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 2,404$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 47c | 2,374$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.55 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Red Wings | 78c | 2,374$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 53c | 2,109$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…07a9backed Kraken | 46c | 2,023$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Kraken | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Kraken | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…977ebacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 23c | 1,895$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 16c | 1,727$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…a897backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…6f60backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…1949backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…54dbbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…3d09backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…eb36backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…da4dbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…381bbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ee61backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…ed08backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…d1e5backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…875fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…47e0backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1d67backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…d03dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…148abacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6773…bddabacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…caffbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…d108backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d38…cdebbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…3ed4backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14b…bd40backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…fad0backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…14febacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…35dfbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…c581backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…31dcbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…b57bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…5c12backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…d15ebacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…b7b5backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…05d0backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…e99ebacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…43d7backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…dcd1backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…02e6backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…e292backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…50a0backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…d67fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…3890backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…a713backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4351…cf9bbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce9backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…40b5backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…87c5backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…24bdbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…a198backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…bd1abacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…5f73backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…97cfbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…c976backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddb…c4d1backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…c309backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d367backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…49d4backed Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Krakenthis page
- Red Wings vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.