TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$721,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$777,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 606 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Clippers33c75,000$24,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,740.0238248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers54c34,000$18,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,359.9837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies57c30,407$17,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,194.971,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers54c26,316$14,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,259.072,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies46c25,495$11,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,792.1587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers54c23,611$12,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,701.792,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies48c21,009$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,009.0438649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Clippers45c20,000$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,982.8310837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies47c17,328$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,177.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies46c16,556$7,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,940.3713455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers51c16,271$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,277.621,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies56c14,082$7,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…1379backed Clippers48c13,526$6,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,520.661414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Grizzlies46c13,000$5,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0202142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies45c11,506$5,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,328.241,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Clippers55c10,809$5,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,944.8534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9955…e3e6backed Clippers5c8,525$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Clippers60c7,650$4,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.327259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Clippers64c6,822$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,372.378863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Clippers54c6,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers53c6,432$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.9674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Grizzlies63c6,338$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.5317441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies44c5,981$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers48c5,420$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.492,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies51c5,372$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.521,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Grizzlies50c5,314$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers10c5,265$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.951,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Grizzlies45c4,791$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.8376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Grizzlies72c4,620$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.1915274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Clippers53c4,519$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.8178445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies55c4,435$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.41,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Grizzlies46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.835139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Grizzlies46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.37745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b6…efecbacked Grizzlies53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…9be8backed Clippers53c3,750$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…cfd6backed Grizzlies47c3,742$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies58c3,657$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.4473649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Grizzlies46c3,440$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.873441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies66c3,347$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.0559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies47c3,215$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.0476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Clippers54c3,212$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.3417250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies59c3,137$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.0685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Clippers55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies45c2,925$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.912,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Clippers54c2,891$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.8544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers54c2,779$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.354,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…e8e4backed Grizzlies46c2,669$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies49c2,579$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.1159140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers54c2,571$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.4258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers52c2,395$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies57c2,362$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers53c2,345$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.722,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Grizzlies45c2,229$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.3631044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Grizzlies46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1888048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bb…67a7backed Clippers55c2,191$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Clippers46c2,168$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Clippers54c2,109$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.0314254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers21c2,071$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.681,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Grizzlies45c2,037$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.299851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Grizzlies30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Grizzlies68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2516750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed Grizzlies46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Clippers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies45c1,999$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.4372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Clippers67c1,981$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.0719136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies62c1,964$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Clippers53c1,877$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.0635651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Clippers56c1,853$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.2126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Clippers54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers54c1,747$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Grizzlies58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1441954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies62c1,699$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Clippers46c1,541$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.8111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Grizzlies46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Clippers54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers52c1,449$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Clippers1c1,332$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Grizzlies67c1,323$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.511947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a08…9513backed Clippers43c1,309$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Grizzlies39c1,295$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.3348132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Clippers57c1,268$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.417050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Clippers52c1,206$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.9144459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da7…f16abacked Grizzlies46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2b…df74backed Clippers54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Grizzlies43c1,155$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.749943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f1…e373backed Clippers54c1,109$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.73360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82cd…19f1backed Clippers54c1,107$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Grizzlies47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5519144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Clippers2c1,035$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4147134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e6…909fbacked Clippers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.