NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x964eb6fb8c29e9cd68e54e66adf49db8d2f2788b03b8dce4b146eae5ba972bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Clippers | 52c | 9,535$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 48c | 8,308$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Clippers | 51c | 2,076$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.95 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…e302backed Clippers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,855$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 828.5$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Clippers | 52c | 745$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 694.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Clippers | 51c | 451.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Clippers | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Grizzlies | 50c | 322$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 52c | 269.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clippers | 53c | 206$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 50c | 205.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Clippers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Clippers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clippers | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 112.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…184cbacked Clippers | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Clippers | 53c | 49.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Grizzlies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…3017backed Clippers | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +8.1wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 38.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Clippers | 52c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Grizzlies | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 49c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba82…600bbacked Clippers | 53c | 19.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- Clippers vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.