TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Clippers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,170,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,469,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,170,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,030 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Clippers23c234,512$53,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,937.815443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Rockets55c155,529$85,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,572.258333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets77c100,000$77,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Rockets77c100,000$77,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,00012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Clippers23c100,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0004961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rockets77c99,982$76,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,995.8724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Clippers32c94,842$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets78c57,532$44,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,770.772,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers23c44,111$10,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,145.6387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Clippers23c40,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers23c40,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers21c38,839$8,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,257.396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets77c34,102$26,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,832.2348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Rockets77c32,565$25,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,489.9521450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Clippers24c32,565$7,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,815.617861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Clippers42c27,806$11,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.7159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Clippers30c26,495$7,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,824.3916943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Rockets62c25,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers41c24,186$9,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,958.211,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Clippers22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets78c19,975$15,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,417.191,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets66c19,425$12,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,660.3873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Rockets77c19,000$14,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3701546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478d…9ea9backed Clippers23c19,000$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets76c15,866$12,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Rockets77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4502450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9f…7c29backed Clippers23c15,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers23c14,880$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.491,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Rockets79c14,412$11,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.6819388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Clippers36c13,878$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.1844654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets79c12,658$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.2334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers23c11,888$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.781,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers22c11,654$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.9936741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Rockets76c11,537$8,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.527259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Clippers24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Clippers20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Rockets76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Clippers47c9,942$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Clippers26c9,116$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.4721923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Rockets65c8,786$5,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.592536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets76c8,536$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.7972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594a…49aebacked Clippers23c8,400$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers24c8,341$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets78c7,836$6,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers40c7,424$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Rockets77c7,164$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.7216749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Rockets52c6,974$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.1816942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers30c6,713$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.051,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Rockets78c6,406$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.2710757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Rockets79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2608361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets77c5,936$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Rockets52c5,717$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.51650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Clippers23c5,700$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Rockets76c5,700$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets77c5,536$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2953,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Rockets78c5,532$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.935657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Rockets73c5,500$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4754535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Clippers39c5,396$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e35…f709backed Rockets77c5,318$4,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers16c5,148$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.691,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers23c5,050$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Clippers28c5,026$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Rockets78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10014052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Clippers29c5,000$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.0872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Clippers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.961,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Rockets78c4,550$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00134942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Rockets77c4,511$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.572352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aeb…be79backed Rockets79c4,251$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers31c4,219$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.292,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Clippers23c4,209$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9688846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Rockets78c4,200$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9245347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Rockets78c4,200$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9242958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Clippers28c4,173$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.6285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Rockets77c4,156$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.8118448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets77c4,039$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers22c3,971$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.7274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Clippers21c3,807$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4716540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0e…ec76backed Rockets78c3,700$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers21c3,596$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.513,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Rockets77c3,158$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4231347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Rockets76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Clippers22c2,945$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Rockets78c2,899$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.8648957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Clippers22c2,839$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6354040%16 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Rockets76c2,813$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.116357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f00…8982backed Rockets78c2,787$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.244676.1%35 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Clippers24c2,782$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.65139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7950…1d42backed Clippers8c2,776$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…e903backed Clippers23c2,774$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.02728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…9bbfbacked Clippers22c2,762$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+98.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Clippers28c2,747$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Clippers22c2,668$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0322637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Clippers45c2,565$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.115959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rockets77c2,559$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed Clippers22c2,480$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.613737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Clippers19c2,455$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.1634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Clippers37c2,451$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.2966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.