TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Rockets49c69,038$33,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,828.791,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Clippers52c57,864$30,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,774.6415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Clippers54c27,626$14,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,707.9625248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets47c23,550$11,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,174.861,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Clippers55c19,519$10,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,783.6317251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Clippers51c19,331$9,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,472.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Rockets48c18,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,64020352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Clippers53c15,153$8,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.9617658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Clippers52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.452552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets46c12,212$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Rockets48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers53c11,214$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.7666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f1…ecb9backed Rockets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets51c9,812$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers52c9,588$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.141,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Clippers55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.916144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets47c6,438$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.081,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Clippers53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82085742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8f…fa57backed Rockets49c5,339$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6161258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Rockets49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers51c4,416$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.951,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets45c4,160$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Clippers54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.712555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Rockets47c3,360$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.6920542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets49c3,337$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Rockets50c3,050$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52512341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets55c2,512$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.3352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Rockets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers50c1,938$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.931,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rockets50c1,885$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.3215549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Clippers52c1,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets47c1,376$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.772,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Rockets49c1,345$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Rockets48c1,313$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Rockets48c1,169$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockets47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7659140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets52c1,003$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4110…42a9backed Rockets48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Clippers50c984$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49241652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Clippers53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.528448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets46c784.73$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers45c750.75$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rockets50c626.62$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3127939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Clippers51c528.06$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1154853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Clippers53c457.45$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2154841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Rockets50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Rockets47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Clippers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Rockets49c398.09$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9342845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Clippers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Clippers54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3717856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Clippers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Rockets49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14713748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rockets48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets47c298$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.061,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers32c292.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.13,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe247…5a9fbacked Rockets50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clippers54c262$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffb…4966backed Rockets48c259.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f7…314abacked Clippers51c241.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…a6b5backed Rockets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Rockets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Clippers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9219556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3a9…6324backed Clippers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Rockets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Clippers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Rockets48c190$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.28248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Clippers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets48c182.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Clippers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824030%12 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Clippers74c168.7$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Rockets48c160.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.932744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets49c151.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Clippers51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.59360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Rockets67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets48c143.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers51c132.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.383,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd077…b875backed Rockets47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.150%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fef…94afbacked Rockets47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Rockets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Clippers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4926044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Rockets46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Rockets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Rockets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4a…c6e4backed Clippers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd8…ec8dbacked Rockets51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Clippers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5938845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x673f…db13backed Clippers52c84.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Rockets50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc08d…6a83backed Rockets49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Rockets49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Rockets49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Clippers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99be…fbd6backed Clippers52c79.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aac…049fbacked Clippers52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53df…fac3backed Rockets49c76.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.