NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ba9f5f6ed546d3288d7f01dfba3b88145eb62d521a4887a1307d236ee09de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 13,430$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,136.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 53c | 9,496$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.28 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 47c | 978.72$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 50c | 602.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.34 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 411.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 48c | 352$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 20c | 304.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Over | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…0c50backed Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…6f77backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 51.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 48c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…623bbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.