TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa180…6aa6backed Under47c5,979$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under53c5,706$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99814753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under48c3,614$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.3120352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0243…8cccbacked Over52c1,917$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.314100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c1,883$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.531,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,533$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4846258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c1,250$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over55c906.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.613073.3%22 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under47c772.19$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.727140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Over55c548.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.115056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ec…5696backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under45c441.14$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.521443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over55c417$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6514145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Over49c408.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over54c380$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.827247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c320$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…7f16backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9254838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9436854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5728046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.151,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c139.93$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under44c136.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…8052backed Over53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2312454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c95.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.762,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.076045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.811,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c74.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aba…7d56backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.074459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdd…a8f8backed Over54c69.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.096154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.578852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…e8a8backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.518554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over54c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x723c…8462backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2149852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c37.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c37.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3624248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5899…032dbacked Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652450%12 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.043246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3424…d731backed Over57c31.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c28.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8514751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.163863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c27.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under44c27.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.223154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.813652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2433…e59fbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5029…8441backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1a…2668backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc9…95f6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64f2…b9f7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef4…ce93backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c77…d209backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe92…7f3bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cd…5751backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f21…cb2cbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1062…ac82backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…276fbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9f…6d90backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb407…6fedbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc505…3169backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd54…96d8backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3680…71d7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4036…5a2bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf10…ba77backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6b…244dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb67…748abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.