NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b432bef4b1155d8af71b4254abe9921595a2e8949017bc5c4a6c257ee3efaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Rockets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $939,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $942,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Clippers | 51c | 828,349$425,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403,348.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rockets | 48c | 311,514$151,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,016.76 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 49c | 300,000$147,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,999.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Rockets | 48c | 70,501$33,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,840.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 53c | 49,554$26,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,263.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 42,257$20,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,651.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 20,886$10,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 47c | 18,708$8,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,915.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 50c | 12,800$6,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Clippers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,788$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,660$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets | 50c | 4,489$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.61 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Rockets | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 50c | 3,279$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Rockets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Rockets | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 50c | 2,887$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,267$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 49c | 2,058$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,030$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.85 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 49c | 1,789$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.11 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.81 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Rockets | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 48c | 1,266$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 49c | 919.61$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.61 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 51c | 849.18$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Rockets | 52c | 767.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Clippers | 48c | 668$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Rockets | 54c | 646$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 49c | 577$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Rockets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rockets | 54c | 499.92$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clippers | 48c | 492.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Rockets | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 47c | 451.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 51c | 439.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 49c | 436.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Rockets | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Clippers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Clippers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Rockets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Rockets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Clippers | 48c | 258.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 46c | 249.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed Clippers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Clippers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed Clippers | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…fdf1backed Rockets | 50c | 192.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Rockets | 52c | 190.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Clippers | 51c | 188.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Rockets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Rockets | 35c | 140.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Rockets | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7050backed Rockets | 56c | 125.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Clippers | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 47c | 117.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Rockets | 51c | 112.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Rockets | 50c | 106.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Clippers | 44c | 103.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Rockets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Rockets | 53c | 84.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Rockets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Rockets | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Rockets | 54c | 69.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9802…4c0dbacked Rockets | 50c | 69.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Rockets | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Clippers | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Rockets | 50c | 60.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Clippers | 69c | 60.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…d693backed Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Clippers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Rockets | 53c | 55.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Rockets | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Clippers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Rockets | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Rockets | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Clippers | 70c | 42.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Rockets | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Rockets | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Clippers | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Clippers | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Clippers | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Clippers | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Rockets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.