NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615ddf4bf9cbd93fd8409ac8b5bde4e8e81ce5393f9410ebb6b93289dd533b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Under | 45c | 7,600$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Over | 55c | 7,600$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Over | 56c | 7,100$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Under | 44c | 7,100$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,903$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 55c | 3,641$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.18 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 1,240$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.89 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 47c | 918.47$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.96 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 13c | 900$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 293.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Over | 57c | 287.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Over | 54c | 274.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 256.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 53c | 161.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 97.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 87.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 67.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 56.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…5108backed Over | 57c | 50.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 39.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Over | 55c | 38.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Over | 51c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 57c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…dd67backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…ba86backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…d231backed Over | 57c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.