NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb661b95390e210e1ae8b13825824270261e46a6d1dd795aa7a59da9e651c5769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $978,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 48c | 96,748$46,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,345.25 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 53c | 75,715$39,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,965.17 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Ducks | 47c | 72,751$34,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,558.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 50c | 54,193$27,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,096.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Penguins | 51c | 37,075$18,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,906.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ducks | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Ducks | 48c | 22,000$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,439.96 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 41c | 20,004$8,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,201.09 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Penguins | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.98 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Penguins | 51c | 19,800$10,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,060.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Ducks | 48c | 18,711$8,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,729.95 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Penguins | 51c | 16,481$8,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,405.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 50c | 14,689$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.36 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 49c | 14,280$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,282.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Penguins | 52c | 14,144$7,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.88 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Penguins | 46c | 13,000$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.68 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 48c | 11,468$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…b81bbacked Penguins | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Penguins | 51c | 10,774$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc53…8c9cbacked Ducks | 47c | 10,750$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.01 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Penguins | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Penguins | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 46c | 9,861$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 50c | 9,740$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.2 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 50c | 8,482$4,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.22 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 49c | 8,369$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Ducks | 50c | 8,123$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 50c | 7,706$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.76 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Penguins | 51c | 7,141$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed Penguins | 52c | 7,096$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 52c | 7,083$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.51 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Penguins | 52c | 7,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.9 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Ducks | 50c | 6,680$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Penguins | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 49c | 5,858$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…fbeabacked Ducks | 46c | 5,137$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Ducks | 50c | 5,109$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ce7dbacked Penguins | 53c | 5,070$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Ducks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…c3bcbacked Penguins | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…af1dbacked Ducks | 46c | 4,859$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 47c | 4,510$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.08 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Penguins | 53c | 4,505$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.37 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 50c | 4,376$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Penguins | 53c | 4,358$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Ducks | 48c | 4,300$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 33c | 4,285$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.63 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Penguins | 43c | 4,179$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 51c | 4,072$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.7 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 47c | 4,007$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.12 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 53c | 3,730$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Penguins | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Ducks | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Ducks | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 49c | 2,906$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.68 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 45c | 2,776$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Penguins | 51c | 2,677$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Penguins | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…ee9abacked Ducks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 60c | 2,480$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.01 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 49c | 2,353$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.03 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 45c | 2,076$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.97 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Ducks | 48c | 2,064$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.74 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Penguins | 52c | 2,025$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.73 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 45c | 2,020$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.62 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Penguins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Penguins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Penguins | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Penguins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Ducks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Ducks | 54c | 1,887$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…2a65backed Penguins | 1c | 1,862$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,778$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ducks | 51c | 1,756$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 53c | 1,677$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ducks | 49c | 1,603$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.53 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Penguins | 49c | 1,602$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…5436backed Ducks | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 36c | 1,545$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.86 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 53c | 1,528$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.76 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penguins | 53c | 1,528$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.63 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…d9b6backed Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…9172backed Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…91e6backed Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…a796backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…fc14backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…c21cbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…f418backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2c0cbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…b86cbacked Ducks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…9613backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe26…bcf1backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Penguinsthis page
- Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.